Technical analysis by just5 about Symbol BTC on 12/19/2025

Many traders draw a 4-year cycle, exactly day by day: 1064 bull days + 365 bear days. But if you look closely, for example, the 2014-2015 bear cycle was longer than 365 days(413 days). The same happened in 2022, when it broke up two weeks later. This time, everything seemed to line up, in terms of dates, except for the price, the high dominance, and the lack of an altseason. Why does everyone talk about a 4-year cycle, and then just break it into 2 parts, is it a 4-year cycle, or 3+1? So I thought, what if this is just a complex correction in a bullish cycle, since corrections of ~30% are quite normal. Besides, in every bear cycle, Bitcoin falls less and less; it no longer even makes ~80%, so maybe it doesn't need 365 days? In 2022, it fell 74% in 217 days. If we go back to the 4-year cycle, it might be that the bullish one will be a little longer and the bearish one a little shorter? But if I'm wrong, then we're heading for ~30k, not 50k as they're all projecting.1-Day???