Technical analysis by TradeM_Gold_I about Symbol PAXG on 12/19/2025
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK | XAUUSD DEC 19, 2025

📊Market Structure Gold on the H1 timeframe remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside. However, recent price action shows consolidation below highs, suggesting smart money is mitigating positions after a strong expansion. 💡Trading Plan 🔼Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (High Probability) 🔤Bias: Buy continuation 🔤Reason Market remains bullish with previous BOS intact No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 Price likely to retrace into discount FVG before continuation 🔤Entry Condition Price taps 4310–4320 FVG Bullish reaction with LTF BOS / displacement 📊Scenario 2 – Range Play / Liquidity Sweep (Medium Probability) 🔤Short-term sell → buy 🔤Reason Price consolidating near equilibrium Likely liquidity sweep above 4350 before reversal Smart money traps breakout buyers 🔤Entry Condition Sweep above recent highs Bearish CHoCH on M15–M30 Sell back into range → Buy again at discount FVG 🔽Scenario 3 – Bearish Reversal (Low Probability) 🔤Bias: Sell 🔤Reason Requires a confirmed H1 CHoCH Failure to hold above BOS level Strong displacement below 4300 🔤Entry Condition H1 candle closes below 4300 Retest fails + bearish BOS Disclaimer: All content and signals shared are for general guidance and informational purposes only. This information should not be considered a substitute for certified financial advice. We assume no responsibility for any outcomes or consequences (positive or negative) that may arise from the use of these signals. All members are strongly encouraged to consult with their own qualified experts or advisors before making any trading decisions.
