Technical analysis by minno91 about Symbol ETH: Buy recommendation (12/18/2025)

minno91
ETHUSDT - Intraday Long From Range Low?

Alright traders, this one is a conservative intraday idea, not a YOLO moon mission. After yesterday’s CPI pre-washout, ETH looks like it still wants to respect the range before doing anything dramatic. I’m not expecting an instant breakdown to 2,700 — more like one more visit to the lower part of the range, and then a bounce. Market Context (Big Picture, No Panic) On the W/D timeframe, ETH is still in a correction inside a broader bull cycle. We’re well above the early-year lows, but also below the last swing high around 3.3k. On-chain + ETF data still look healthy: •increasing treasury / ETF holdings •no signs of cycle euphoria •sentiment is fear, not hype Which usually means: mean-reversion works better than aggressive breakdown bets, unless we’re at extreme levels. Intraday-wise (4H–15M): ETH is chopping in a 2,800–2,900 range. •wicks below 2,800 get bought fast •moves above 2,900 get sold Classic range behavior. ⸻ The Trade Plan (Simple and Boring — the Good Kind) •Direction: ETHUSDT long •Entry (limit): 2,820 •Stop loss: 2,760 (below today’s low and the 2.8k support area) •Take profit: 2,950 (below 1H resistance and the top of the range) Risk is about 60 points, potential reward about 130 points, so roughly R:R = 1:2.2. Not sexy, but very tradable. This setup is valid only until ~14:30 CET. After that, CPI and US data can completely rewrite the structure — and I’d rather be flat than heroic. ⸻ Why This Makes Sense (At Least to Me 😄) •The market is in full “waiting for CPI” mode •Fear dominates sentiment •After a vertical dump, ETH is absorbing sell pressure, not accelerating lower •Rising volume on lower wicks suggests buyers stepping in, not panic continuation A long from 2,820 gives us a clean shot at another reversion leg toward the mid-to-upper range. If price breaks below 2,760, the idea is invalid — that likely opens the door to the 2,700–2,750 liquidity zone, and that’s a different trade, not a reason to hope harder. ⸻ Trade Management Rules (No Negotiation) •Entry only via limit near 2,820 •If ETH runs straight above ~2,890 without a pullback → setup is invalid •If price quickly tags 2,930–2,950 before CPI, take the profit and walk away •No averaging, no forcing, no attachment This is an intraday range play — not a belief system. ⸻ Let’s see if ETH respects the range one more time before macro chaos takes over. Trade safe, manage risk, and let the market do the heavy lifting 📊🚀