Technical analysis by Quant_Trading_Pro about Symbol ETH on 12/17/2025
ETH 4H – EMA Cross Rejects, But Can Rising Support Hold?
Ethereum continues to trade within a larger corrective structure, capped by long-standing downtrend resistance while respecting a rising support trendline from the lows. After briefly pushing into the HTF retracement zone, price failed to hold above the 0.5 level and rolled over following a confirmed 50 / 100 EMA bearish cross. Acceptance below the EMA cluster keeps short-term bias tilted bearish unless reclaimed. Price is now reacting into a 1-hour Fair Value Gap, which aligns closely with rising diagonal support — making this a critical decision area. Bull scenario: Holding rising support and defending the 1H FVG could allow ETH to rotate back toward the EMA cluster and mid-range, but this remains corrective unless price reclaims and holds above the EMAs. Bear scenario: Failure to hold rising support opens downside continuation toward the major liquidity low, where higher-timeframe demand would be expected to step in. Until ETH reclaims the EMA structure and mid-range levels, rallies remain reactive, not trend-confirming.