Technical analysis by Matthew_TradeRFX about Symbol ETH on 12/15/2025

MARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD (4H) Market State: – Ethereum remains in a range-bound structure, repeatedly forming distribution-like consolidations after short impulsive moves. – Each highlighted box shows the same behavior: push up → choppy consolidation → downside rotation. Current price action is aligning with that same rhythm. Key Levels: – Range Mid / Balance: ~3,120 – 3,150 – Upper Supply Reaction Zone: ~3,300 – 3,450 – Lower Demand / Rotation Target: ~3,000 – 3,050 – Breakout Invalidation: Clean acceptance above ~3,450 Price Action Read: – The market is not trending it is cycling liquidity inside a broad range. – Failed follow-through after bullish pushes signals seller absorption at higher prices. – Current consolidation suggests another rotation phase, not immediate continuation. Next Move: – Sideways to slightly bearish rotation remains favored while below the upper supply zone. – A sweep toward the lower range (~3,000–3,050) is a high-probability magnet. – Only a strong break and acceptance above 3,450 would invalidate the range-play and shift bias bullish. ETH is not breaking out it’s repeating structure. Until price escapes the range with acceptance, rotation beats prediction.Ethereum (ETH/USD) Ethereum has clearly deviated from the earlier projection, with price extending lower instead of following the expected path. However, this move should be viewed as a liquidity-driven adjustment rather than a structural breakdown. The sharp downside flushed late long positions and reset leverage across the market, a common behavior in crypto during periods of elevated macro uncertainty. From a broader macro perspective, ETH continues to trade under the influence of global liquidity conditions. Ongoing uncertainty around the timing and pace of Fed rate cuts, intermittent USD strength, and fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields have kept risk assets under pressure. At the same time, there is no decisive macro catalyst driving sustained risk-off behavior. This combination typically results in range-bound price action as capital waits for clearer direction. Technically, ETH is now stabilizing after the sell-off, with price overlapping and volatility compressing—key characteristics of accumulation following liquidation. The market is transitioning into a sideways phase, where both buyers and sellers are rebuilding positions. In this environment, false breakouts are common, and patience becomes critical. Looking ahead, the most likely scenario is continued consolidation, allowing ETH to build a base before the next meaningful move. A breakout will require a fresh macro trigger, such as clearer guidance from central banks, a shift in risk sentiment, or renewed inflows into crypto markets. Until then, traders are best served by avoiding aggressive directional bets and allowing the market to complete its accumulation process.