Technical analysis by RexTraderSignal about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (12/15/2025)

Bitcoin 1H Market Analysis — Liquidity Trap & Expansion Setup 1. Current Market Structure - Bitcoin is currently trading inside a corrective bearish structure following the previous impulsive move up. - Price formed a sequence of lower highs, capped by a descending trendline, confirming short-term selling pressure. However, the most recent drop failed to continue lower and instead produced a strong bullish reaction from the demand zone, signaling potential exhaustion of sellers. This indicates the market is transitioning from distribution → accumulation on the 1H timeframe. 2. Key Liquidity & Zones Major Resistance Zone: 90,500 – 90,700 → Previous supply + trendline confluence Demand Zone: 87,700 – 88,000 → Strong buying reaction, liquidity sweep completed Liquidity Sweep: The sharp sell-off into demand flushed late longs and trapped breakout sellers, allowing smart money to accumulate at discounted prices. This is a classic liquidity grab below structure before reversal. 3. Market Scenario (Primary Outlook) 🔼 Bullish Scenario – Preferred Based on current price behavior: - Price is likely to retest the descending trendline - A successful reclaim above 89,300 – 89,600 would confirm a bullish structure shift - After a shallow pullback, BTC can expand toward: TP1: 90,500 TP2: 92,000+ Extended Target: 93,500 (range high) This matches the projected path drawn on your chart. 4. Market Psychology - Retail traders are reacting emotionally to the sharp drop, assuming continuation lower. - Smart money used the sell-off to absorb liquidity inside demand. - The strong bounce shows buyers are in control below 88K. - This environment favors patience and confirmation, not chasing breakouts blindly. The market is setting a trap for late sellers before expansion. 5. Trading Guidance ❌ Avoid selling inside the demand zone ✅ Focus on: - Buy setups after trendline reclaim - Pullbacks holding above 88,500 - Break-and-retest confirmations - Risk management is critical — volatility expansion is likely once price leaves this compression. Summary Bitcoin has completed a liquidity sweep into demand and is showing early signs of a trend reversal on the 1H timeframe. As long as price holds above the demand zone, the bias remains bullish toward higher liquidity and resistance targets. This is not a random bounce it is structured price behavior driven by liquidity and positioning.BTC Market Update The bullish liquidity-trap scenario outlined yesterday did not fully materialize as Bitcoin experienced a sharp downside move overnight. Importantly, this was not a failure of the structural read, but rather a macro-driven volatility event that temporarily overpowered short-term technical conditions. Why the Drop Happened The sell-off was driven primarily by macro factors, not by organic weakness in BTC structure: - Renewed risk-off positioning emerged as markets reassessed near-term monetary policy expectations, triggering broad deleveraging across risk assets. - Short-term USD strength and yield volatility pressured crypto markets, leading to forced liquidation of leveraged long positions. - Liquidity conditions overnight were thin, amplifying the move once key intraday supports broke, causing a cascading stop-run rather than a trend continuation. This type of move is typical when positioning becomes crowded and macro uncertainty resurfaces. Updated Structure After the flush, BTC is no longer in a clean trend environment. Price is now transitioning into a range-bound consolidation phase, characterized by: Reduced directional conviction Volatility compression following liquidation Balanced order flow as buyers and sellers reassess The market has effectively entered wait-and-see mode, absorbing the macro shock and waiting for the next catalyst. Forward Outlook Short-term bias: Sideways / range-bound Market behavior: Liquidity rebuilding, false breakouts possible Catalyst dependency: Next macro data releases, central bank commentary, or risk sentiment shifts Until fresh macro information enters the market, BTC is more likely to oscillate within a defined range rather than trend decisively. Conclusion Last night’s move was a macro and liquidity-driven reset, not a structural collapse. With leverage flushed and volatility cooling, BTC is now stabilizing and consolidating positioning itself for the next directional move once new macro news provides clarity. Patience remains key: structure will reassert itself after the macro noise fades.BTC/USD (H1) — Market Update: Yesterday’s Forecast Still Valid Bitcoin continues to move exactly in line with yesterday’s projection. After the impulsive rebound from the demand zone, price has failed to reclaim the upper resistance and is now transitioning into a controlled consolidation / pullback phase, as anticipated. Recap of Yesterday’s Call Buy zone: ~85,700 – 86,000 → held perfectly First upside reaction: into 87,700 – 88,000 resistance → achieved Expectation after TP: short-term correction and sideways behavior → now playing out What the Chart Shows Today Price is being capped below 87,770 – 88,040 (key intraday resistance). Sellers are stepping in gradually, but without aggressive continuation — a sign of distribution inside a range, not trend reversal. The dotted red path suggests a minor dip toward the lower boundary to rebalance liquidity before any next move. Key Levels to Monitor Resistance: 87,770 – 88,040 Mid-range: 87,200 – 87,300 Demand / Range Low: 85,700 – 85,900 Outlook Short term: Sideways → slight pullback toward demand. Bias: Neutral with a bullish tilt as long as 85,700 holds. Invalidation: A clean break below 85,700 would negate the range scenario. SUMMARY Yesterday’s forecast remains fully valid. BTC is consolidating after the initial profit-taking move, exactly as expected. The market is now building liquidity for the next directional decision.