Technical analysis by DEXWireNews about Symbol NVDAX: Buy recommendation (12/12/2025)

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is weighing a major expansion of its H200 AI chip production after demand from Chinese companies exceeded current supply, according to Reuters sources. The surge in interest follows the U.S. government’s recent decision to allow Nvidia to export H200 processors to China under a 25% tariff, reigniting competition for access to high-performance computing hardware. Chinese tech giants—including Alibaba and ByteDance—reportedly contacted Nvidia almost immediately after the announcement, eager to secure bulk orders of the H200. However, the situation remains fluid. The Chinese government has not yet approved inbound H200 shipments and held emergency meetings this week to determine whether to allow the chip into the country. Limited supply is another complication. Nvidia is prioritizing production of its next-generation Blackwell and upcoming Rubin architectures, leaving only small quantities of H200 units available. This scarcity has intensified demand because the H200 is currently the most powerful AI chip legally accessible to Chinese companies—nearly six times stronger than the downgraded H20 version released in 2023. Industry analysts warn that allowing the H200 into China could slow the growth of China’s domestic AI chip ecosystem. Chinese regulators are considering conditions such as requiring each H200 purchase to be bundled with locally produced chips to support homegrown semiconductor development. Technical Analysis The NVDA chart currently shows price consolidating below the recent high near $212. After a strong multi-month rally, the stock has pulled back into a key short-term support zone around $175–$185. Holding this range could position NVDA for a retest of its highs, supported by strong demand catalysts and ongoing AI infrastructure investment. If price breaks below $175, a deeper correction toward the $150 demand zone becomes likely. Volume is stabilizing, and RSI sits mid-range, indicating a neutral momentum backdrop awaiting a directional catalyst. Traders should watch for reclaiming the $190–$195 area to confirm bullish continuation.