Technical analysis by CryptoNuclear about Symbol AVAX: Buy recommendation (11/25/2025)

AVAX is currently standing at one of its most critical decision points since 2023. After failing to hold its multi-year ascending trendline, the price finally broke down and closed the weekly candle below the structural level at $15.7. This isn’t a normal correction — this is a signal that the market structure has shifted, and AVAX is entering a survival phase. But the story is far from over. Price is now sliding into a zone that has historically acted as a deep accumulation region: $10.7 – $8.5 This yellow block is where large-volume buyers previously stepped in during the 2022 crash and later consolidated before major moves. The long wick sweeping into this zone indicates early buyer activity — but not enough to reclaim structural levels yet. Right now, AVAX is in the middle of a high-timeframe battlefield between two major outcomes: Bullish Reversal Scenario → Price reclaims $15.7 and climbs back above the broken trendline. Bearish Breakdown Scenario → Price loses $10.7, falls deeper into the accumulation block, and risks testing historical lows near $5.7. --- Bullish Scenario — (Reversal Trigger: $15.7) A bullish reversal starts to form if AVAX can: 1. Bounce strongly from $10.7–$8.5, and 2. Close a weekly candle back above $15.7. This would signal that significant accumulation has taken place and that smart money is re-entering the market. Major upside targets become: $20.80 → First structural resistance $32.90 → Mid-range breakout $54.30 → High-timeframe trend reversal confirmed This is the “comeback path” for AVAX. --- Bearish Scenario — (Breakdown Trigger: $10.7) If AVAX fails to hold above $10.7 on the weekly, the long-standing demand zone collapses. Downside implications: Immediate drop toward $8.5 If $8.5 also breaks → Price opens the door to a deeper decline toward the historical low around $5.7 This would confirm a major redistribution phase, not just a pullback. --- Price Action & Market Structure AVAX is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a weekly downtrend. Breaking the ascending trendline marks a clear character shift. The $10.7–$8.5 zone now acts as the final defense for bulls before entering a multi-year lower range. Expect liquidity sweeps & stop hunts in this region — patience and weekly confirmation are key. --- AVAX is now sitting inside a make-or-break zone that will determine its multi-month direction. Hold $10.7–$8.5 → Potential strong reversal back toward $20–$30 Break below $10.7 → Deeper bearish continuation toward the $5.7 region This is the type of price zone where professional traders wait for confirmation, not quick reactions. --- #AVAX #Avalanche #CryptoTA #AVAXUSDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #PriceAction #MarketStructure #CryptoOutlook #SupportAndResistance