Technical analysis by ProfitaminFX about Symbol BTC on 11/21/2025

We’re looking at BTCUSDT on the 4H timeframe. After a strong bullish leg, BTC has been aggressively sold off from the upper supply zones and is now sitting inside the first major demand area. 🔑 Key zones on the chart (approx.): 4H FVG (supply): 95,000 – 97,500 Current demand zone / upper OB: 82,500 – 85,500 Major lower demand zone: 72,000 – 77,000 Price is at a decision point, and I’m mainly watching three scenarios: Scenario 1 – Relief long into the 4H FVG If price holds inside 82.5K–85.5K and on the lower timeframes (15m / 1H) we get a clear bullish CHoCH + clean long OB, BTC can easily print a relief rally toward the 95K–97.5K 4H FVG. This would be a decent short-term long opportunity, but as long as the 4H structure remains heavy and impulsively bearish, I still treat it as a counter-trend move, not the start of a fresh macro bull leg. Scenario 2 – Pullback to FVG and continuation down My main working scenario: BTC bounces from the current demand zone, Fills the 4H FVG around 95K–97.5K, Shows strong rejection + wicks + reversal candle + bearish CHoCH on LTF, Then starts the next leg down toward the 72K–77K major demand zone. For me, any serious swing/position longs make more sense down there, not in the middle of this aggressive repricing move. Scenario 3 – No strong bounce, straight flush to 72K–77K If the current demand around 82.5K–85.5K completely fails and we don’t see any meaningful bullish structure on lower timeframes, BTC can simply bleed directly into 72K–77K without a big relief move. In that case, trying to long every little dip in the middle of the dump is basically fighting the flow. I’d rather wait patiently until: Either we get a proper relief rally into the 4H FVG (Scenarios 1–2), Or price flushes into 72K–77K and gives a high-quality long setup from there. 🧠 Overall view (our style): We’re in a distribution / repricing phase, not a clean trending leg. Big, conviction longs for me belong closer to 72K–77K, not here. Any long from current levels is tactical, short-term and LTF-based, with tight risk and clear invalidation – not a “close your eyes and hold” type of trade.