Technical analysis by GoldFxMinds about Symbol PAXG on 11/15/2025

Hello traders, welcome to today’s premium four hour briefing. Gold is navigating a crucial phase inside a macro bullish cycle that began after the October all-time high around 4380. The market completed a deep correction into 3885, launched an impulsive rally into 4245, and is now retracing into mid-range levels around 4085. H4 structure is compressing, and the next reaction from demand or the decision zone will decide whether the market attempts continuation or sinks into a deeper pullback. 🌍 Macro Pulse Gold remains fundamentally supported. Lower US inflation readings, weakening labor momentum and the expectation that the Federal Reserve will continue a softer trajectory create a macro backdrop that favors dips being bought. However, yields remain sticky and risk sentiment is mixed, slowing the pace of bullish continuation. This aligns perfectly with the H4 structure: bullish on the larger cycle, corrective on the mid-term, and waiting for confirmation before expanding again. ⚔️ H4 Battlefield Overview The macro correction from 4380 into 3885 created a clean discounted base for accumulation. The rally into 4245 defined the new bullish leg. The current drop toward 4085 is a classical mid-leg retracement. On H4, demand layers remain intact below, while supply clusters above are untouched. An internal imbalance around 4120 to 4147 acts as the first upside magnet if bulls defend the lower levels. The decision zone at 4080 to 4110 controls the flow. H4 Bias: Bullish Corrective Gold leans bullish on H4, but remains inside a clean corrective pullback. Buyers still control the larger structure as long as demand zones continue to hold. 🟥 H4 Supply Zones Above Price (low → high) 1. Major H4 Supply Block 4205 – 4240 The consolidation that preceded the last aggressive sell-off. The first real supply layer above the current correction. 2. H4 ATH Rejection Supply 4345 – 4380 This is the institutional supply formed at the October all-time high. Strong macro rejection here defined the entire 4380 → 3885 correction. 3. H4 Extension Supply 4450 – 4480 The deeper premium layer projected from macro structure. If price breaks through 4380, this becomes the next major target. 🟦 H4 Demand Zones Below Price (low → high) 1. Immediate H4 Demand 4005 – 4035 The current zone stabilizing price. Strong wick reactions and absorption confirm active buyers. 2. Mid H4 Demand 3890 – 3920 The accumulation pocket that launched the current 3885 → 4245 leg. A foundational bullish block. 3. Deep H4 Demand 3760 – 3790 The deepest structural discount of the entire macro cycle. Only tested in case of a significant correction. ⚪ H4 Decision Zone 4080 – 4110 This mid-range pivot determines the next leg. Acceptance above shifts momentum upward. Rejection invites continuation to lower demand. 🎯 Upside Inefficiency Target 4120 – 4147 A clean H4 imbalance left by the drop. Not a supply zone. If demand holds, this is the first natural upside draw. 📈 Bullish Scenario Bulls need: Strong defense at 4005 – 4035 Reclaim of the decision zone at 4080 – 4110 Push into the imbalance at 4120 – 4147 Continuation toward 4205 – 4240 If 4240 breaks, gold opens direct road into 4345 – 4380. 📉 Bearish Scenario Sellers gain traction if: Price gets rejected at the decision zone Attempts into 4120 – 4147 fail Market slips back under 4070 Downside targets: Immediate demand 4005 – 4035 If this breaks, continuation into 3890 – 3920 Deep correction exposes 3760 – 3790 🔥 Conclusion Gold is consolidating inside a macro bullish cycle. The all-time high at 4380 remains the macro anchor. Price is now balancing between premium supply and discounted demand. The decision zone at 4080 – 4110 holds the entire map together. A clean breakout from this mid-range compression will define the next powerful leg. What do you think about this H4 map? Share your thoughts below, drop a like if it helped you, and follow GoldFxMinds for more premium multi-timeframe precision updates.