Technical analysis by FXNEWSCLUB about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (11/13/2025)

FXNEWSCLUB
طلا (XAUUSD) در آستانه سقوط؟ تحلیل کلیدی حمایت 4180 دلار و آینده قیمت

. Technical Overview Timeframe: H2 (2-hour) Current Price: around $4206 Structure: Price is moving within an ascending channel (black trendlines). Key Zones: Buy Zone: $4180–$4185 Stop Loss: $4177 Sell Zone: Below $4183 (confirmation break) Targets: Short-term: $4273 Extended: $4330–$4331 (top of the channel) Interpretation: Price is near a demand zone ($4180–4185) aligning with the channel support — this supports a potential long entry if price holds above that area. However, a clean break below 4183 may signal liquidity sweep and continuation down to around $4093. 📈 2. Price Action Analysis Recent bullish impulse from $4090 → $4210 created new higher highs and higher lows. Minor resistance was formed near $4217–$4220 where sellers reacted. A retest of $4185 could confirm buyers’ strength before continuing up. Liquidity zone: exists just below $4180 — smart money may manipulate below it to grab liquidity before moving higher. 🏦 3. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) View Market Structure: Bullish POI (Point of Interest): $4180–$4185 zone (previous order block + fair value gap area). Liquidity Areas: Sell-side liquidity under $4180 Buy-side liquidity above $4270 Expected SMC Play: Smart money may induce sellers below $4183, sweep liquidity, then push price up to mitigate the previous order block near $4270–$4330. 🌍 4. Fundamental Outlook Gold Drivers This Week: US CPI data: If inflation cools → weaker USD → bullish for Gold. US Treasury yields: Decline in yields supports Gold buying. Geopolitical tension or Fed rate cut expectations → adds bullish pressure. Summary: Fundamentals are slightly bullish for Gold as market sentiment remains risk-averse and traders expect rate cuts in 2026. ⚙️ 5. Trade Plan Summary TypeEntryStop LossTargetConfirmation Buy4180–418541774273 → 4330Bullish candle from POI SellBelow 4183Above 42004093Break + retest below 4180 🎯 Conclusion Bias: Short-term bullish (while above 4180) SMC View: Expect liquidity sweep below 4180 before push to 4270–4330. Invalidation: 4177 break and close below → confirms bearish continuation.