Technical analysis by cryptodailyuk about Symbol BTC on 11/12/2025

🧭 1️⃣ Market structure • We see a clear upward channel (black trend lines) - the price has been moving within it for several days/weeks. • Current price: ~USD 101,630, which is just above the lower border of the channel (dynamic support). • Latest high: ~$107,360 - this is local resistance. • Final low: ~$99,000 - this is key psychological and technical support. ➡️ Medium-term trend: still upwards, but currently in a downward correction wave 📉 3️⃣ Technical indicators 🔸 Stochastic RSI (bottom panel) • Both components (blue and orange lines) are close to the oversold zone (<20). • This is a signal that sellers may be losing momentum, and a rebound from the lower support is possible in the coming hours. ⸻ ⚖️ 4️⃣ Short-term scenarios (4H – 1D) 🟢 Bull scenario (probability around 60%) • The rate remains above USD 101,400 (lower border of the channel). • Stochastic RSI begins to rebound → buy signal. • Potential move up to: • USD 103,900 (first target) • USD 105,900 (second target) • USD 107,300 (main resistance) ➡️ Scenario invalidation: 4H candle close below USD 101,000. ⸻ 🔴 Bear scenario (probability approx. 40%) • Breakout of the USD 101,000 level with a 4H close below. • Decline to $99,000-99,200 zone (major support). • If this support breaks, next goals: • $97,800 • $95,000 ⸻ 📊 5️⃣ Technical signal (4H) ➡️ Decision Zone: $101,000-$101,800 ➡️ Technical signal: possible short-term rebound (RSI oversold, close to channel support). ➡️ Confirmation: 4H candle closing above USD 102,000 with volume - then a chance of a move to USD 104-106k.