Technical analysis by SMC-Trading-Point about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (11/9/2025)

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H timeframe, following Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and structural confluence trading. Let’s break down the full reasoning behind this setup --- Overall Concept The chart suggests that Gold is preparing for a bullish breakout after a successful retest of the trendline and demand zone, signaling potential institutional accumulation before a push toward the target level at 4,080.231. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Market Structure Price recently broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential change of character (ChoCH) from bearish to bullish structure. The higher lows and multiple rejections from the blue demand zone confirm buyer interest. The small arrow and upward projection illustrate an expected retracement and continuation pattern (impulse → correction → new impulse). 2. Key Levels Current Price: 4,001.275 50 EMA: 4,003.110 → Price is now testing and starting to close above this level, showing renewed bullish strength. 200 EMA: 3,960.048 → Dynamic support confirming mid-term bullish bias. Demand Zone (blue area): Around 3,985–3,995 — key zone for re-entries and confirmation of buyer defense. Target Point: 4,080.231 (aligned with a liquidity zone or prior imbalance area). 3. Confluences EMA Cross: Price pushing above both 50 and 200 EMA — often a signal of trend reversal strength. Trendline Retest: The green arrow indicates a successful retest of broken resistance turned support. Bullish Structure: Higher highs and higher lows forming above the EMAs. Volume: 101K+ — healthy momentum supporting institutional buy continuation. 4. Expected Scenario 1. Short-term retracement into the blue demand zone or along the ascending trendline. 2. Bullish reaction (engulfing candle or rejection wick). 3. Continuation move toward the 4,080 target zone. --- Trade Idea Summary Aspect Detail Bias Bullish Entry Zone 3,985 – 3,995 (demand + trendline confluence) Stop Loss Below 3,960 (under EMA200 and previous swing low) Take Profit 4,080 Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better Mr SMC Trading point --- Confirmation to Watch Bullish candle close above 4,005 (EMA50) Rejection from the blue demand zone Break of short-term high around 4,015 confirming continuation --- Summary Gold appears ready for a trend continuation following accumulation above major EMAs and a clean retest of structure. The next impulsive move is projected toward 4,080, aligning with prior liquidity and smart money target areas. please support boost 🚀 this analysis