Technical analysis by Crypto_Ikigai about Symbol BTC on 11/5/2025

Crypto_Ikigai
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✅ What the chart is telling us 1) Strong Impulsive Down Move Large bearish impulse candles High selling volume CVD deeply negative → aggressive sellers in control Main trend is still down. 2) Reversal Reaction at Support Zone At the local bottom we see: Increased volume at lows ✔️ CVD flattening ✔️ Multiple failed breakdown attempts ✔️ This area shows buyers absorbing, shorts covering, and early longs stepping in. 3) First Higher Low (HL) A Higher Low formed following a sharp drop. ✅ First sign of potential trend shift ❗Not a confirmed uptrend yet To confirm a true reversal we need: HL → done HH → minor HH formed Retest & hold → pending So far this is only early recovery structure, not yet trend reversal confidence. 4) Key Level: POC + Value Area Low Price is holding above yesterday’s POC — short-term bullish signal. However, overhead we have: Mid-range resistance 102.3–102.6 supply zone Micro-value high cap Price is pushing into resistance. 📊 1H Structure Summary ElementStatus Higher timeframeDowntrend Current structureHL → minor HH VolumeStabilizing CVDRecovering (-9k → -380) LocationRetest of POC into supply BiasRange → early accumulation signs This is not a FOMO long spot. This is a range recovery zone, not breakout continuation. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🔥 Bullish scenario Looking for: Minor pullback Hold 101.90–102.10 Break into 103,000 zone Best long entry = HL retest after breakout, not here. ❄️ Bearish scenario Short continuation if: Price loses 101.90 Drops below Value Low CVD flips down again ✅ Trader Game Plan We do not chase here. Patience wins. Looking for either: Pullback to 1H demand + bounce → long scalp Reject from 102.6 + LH on 5m → short continuation Trade the reaction, not prediction. Let the market show direction before committing. 📌 Conclusion Buyers showed life — but still need to prove momentum. Key levels Bull defense: 102.0 – 101.9 Breakout confirmation: 102.6+ Bear continuation trigger: < 101.9 Now is the time to wait, not guess. Patience ≠ weakness — it’s discipline.