Technical analysis by WaveFibs about Symbol ETH: Buy recommendation (10/31/2025)

ETH/USDT — Comprehensive EW & Fib Roadmap **Structure:** From the **Jun ’22 bear-market low → Mar ’24** forms **A/3**; **Apr ’25** prints **B/4**. Since April we’re advancing in **daily Wave C**, now focusing on **(iv)–(v)** completion toward terminal levels. This continues my earlier public idea/thread on ETH’s multi-degree terminal advance. --- 1) Multi-timeframe context * **Primary count:** Weekly corrective **A–B–C** from ATH with the current leg = **Wave C**. Within it, daily is progressing to finish **Wave (v) of C** (terminal risk once complete). Core EW rules/guidelines (no W2 > 100% of W1; W3 not the shortest; W4 typically avoids W1 territory; alternation) frame the count and invalidations. ( [en.wikipedia.org] [2]) * **Fibonacci basis:** Using standard retracement/extension clusters (0.382/0.5 retraces; 1.618/2.0 extensions) for targets and pullback zones. --- 2) 2025 zoom-in (from the Apr ’25 **B/4** low) * We have a completed **(i)–(iii)** push into the **Aug ’25 high ≈ $4,956** (marked **Wave 3** on the chart). * **Wave (iv)** most likely **bottomed 10 Oct ’25 ≈ $3,429**, landing in the blue retrace box (**0.382 ≈ $3,575**; **0.5 ≈ $3,233**). * From that low, price carved a fresh **1–2** to the upside → launching pad for **③ of (v)** toward terminal targets (bearish reversal risk once (v) completes). *(All levels and labels are taken from the provided chart screenshots.)* --- 3) Confluence zones & path to completion * **Resistance pivots from prior swings:** **1.618 ≈ $4,528.7** then **2.0 ≈ $5,099**. * **Terminal target cluster for (v) of C:** * **$5,900** (first box edge), * **$6,447** (upper confluence), * **$8,731** (stretch/throw-over if momentum overshoots). These align with typical EW/Fib projections for a terminal wave; diagonals often end with throw-overs and sharp reversals thereafter. --- 4) Risk management & invalidation * **Structure invalidation of the immediate 1–2→3:** sustained break **below $3,200–$3,180** (beneath 0.5 box & October spike-low context) = defer (v) and expect a deeper/complex (iv). * **Momentum tell:** A push into the $5.9k–$6.45k band with fading momentum/divergence would fit terminal behavior; diagonals frequently reverse hard after completion. --- 5) Alternate (lower-probability) * If price closes **below $3,429** and holds, treat the current advance as incomplete corrective work; wait for a **new 1–2** before re-engaging on the long side. (Rule-based posture per EW hard rules/guidelines.) --- ## Trade Idea (non-advice; execution-ready) **Bias:** Long the **1–2** base for a run into the terminal cluster, then de-risk into strength. **Entry (Option A — pullback ladder):** * **$3,575 → $3,233** (0.382–0.5 “blue box”). Scale in 3–4 tranches. **Entry (Option B — confirmation add):** * Add on decisive **daily close > $4,529** (1.618 pivot) targeting the $5.1k box next. **Stop / Invalidation:** * Hard stop **$3,180** (beneath the 0.5 box & Oct spike low). Re-assess if hit. **Targets / Scale-out plan:** * **T1:** **$5,100** (2.0 ext / prior resistance). * **T2:** **$5,900** (terminal box edge). * **T3:** **$6,447** (upper confluence). * **Stretch:** **$8,731** only if momentum remains strong (take partials aggressively; diagonals can “throw-over” then snap back). ( [TradingView] [1]) **Position sizing & management:** * Risk **≤1–2%** of equity per idea; trail under higher lows once price converts **$4,529** to support; aggressively reduce above **$5.9k** if momentum divergences appear. ( [Elliott Wave International] [4]) --- Reference / Continuation This analysis continues my prior ETH terminal-advance roadmap on TradingView; review for the higher-timeframe diagonal context and publishing notes. ( [TradingView] [1]) --- Disclosure Educational analysis only; **not financial advice**. Risk per trade **≤ 1–2%**.