Technical analysis by DECRYPTERS about Symbol PAXG on 10/28/2025

Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! 📊 DETAILED & COMPLETE ANALYSIS (5 TRADE SETUPS) - XAUUSD Gold & Silver Outlook 2025 🏦 Central Bank Buying * 900 tonnes accumulated YTD 2025 (Q3: +19t) * BRICS hold 6,000t (20% global reserves) * 🇨🇳 China: +2,299t * 🇮🇳 India: +880t * 🇵🇱 Poland: +68t (H1) * Motive: De-dollarization & sanctions hedge 📈 Outlook: 950t full-year supports long-term price appreciation. 💰 ETF Inflows & Sentiment * YTD inflows: $28B (AUM: $472B, +6% QoQ) * US inflows: $22B | Europe: $4.4B (Sept) * Gold RSI: 78.4 (Support: $3,700 | Resistance: $3,840) * Silver RSI: 72 (Support: $42) 📈 Outlook: Gold → $3,400/oz (Q4) | Silver → $38/oz on 150t annual inflows. 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Events * Fed cuts: 50 bps by YE, Funds rate → 4.25% * US CPI 2.7% → 2.9% Q4 (tariffs impact) * BRICS gold-backed currency expected 2026 * USD reserves down 15% since 2022 * Trade wars → CPI +0.5–1% 📈 Outlook: Gold → $3,675/oz | Silver → $38.45/oz (Q4) on global inflation >5%. ⚡ Silver Deficit * 2025 deficit: 149M oz (Supply: 844M oz | Demand: 1.21B oz) * Industrial demand: 680M oz (+12% EVs, +20% solar) * China: 40% PV use 📈 Outlook: Deficit to widen → 206M oz (2026) | Silver > $40/oz on 9% industrial growth. 📊 Futures & Options Flow * CME Gold OI: 529k (+12% YoY) * Silver OI: 180k (+15%) * Gold call/put ratio: 2:1 | Silver: 3:1 * CVOL: 15–18% 📈 Outlook: OI → 550k by YE | Volatility → 20% on Fed + geopolitics. 🔮 Fundamentals & Forecast * Gold: +15–20% → $3,400/oz YE 2025 * Drivers: 900t CB demand, $64B ETF inflows, de-dollarization * Silver: +45% → $38/oz YE 2025 * Drivers: 149M oz deficit, 59% industrial demand ⚡ Macro Drivers: CPI >2.7%, Fed cuts, US deficit 7%, BRICS fragmentation.
Structural re-rating likely into 2026 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.