Technical analysis by TheMarketFlow about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (10/26/2025)

The Market Flow | Oct 26, 2025 Technical Overview Monthly/Weekly: • Both remain in structural expansion phases following a strong higher-timeframe impulse. • Bias continues long above prior pivots, maintaining bullish structure despite current mid-term correction. Daily: • Broke the previous valley (daily pivot) and reached the daily breakout zone at 4040.20 . • This defines the ongoing corrective impulse against the dominant bullish trend. • Price is attempting to correct that impulse, forming a counter-correction structure beneath resistance. H4/H1: • Local wave structure is consolidating after a multi-leg retracement. • The corrective move remains contained between the H4 pivot 4060.68 and EXP 4129.14 . • The green EXP level at 4129.14 represents a clean, untested M15 breakdown —the active long trigger . • Targets align with H1 Fibonacci 138.2–161.8% and the correction 61.8% retracement zone near 4204–4246 . • Momentum fading below the EXP would imply continuation within the corrective leg. Trade Structure & Levels • Bias: Long above 4060.68 • Trigger = Break and sustained hold above 4129.14 (M15 EXP) • Primary Invalidation = 4060.68 (H4 pivot) • Secondary Invalidation = 4054.68 (H1 pivot) • Path → 4129 → 4204 → 4239 → 4246 • Phase: Counter-corrective advance within a higher-timeframe expansion Risk & Event Context • Low probability structure as it represents a correction of the corrective impulse. • Watch intraday reactions at the M15 expansion level—failure to confirm beyond it keeps bias neutral. • Volatility expected around USD macro data. Conclusion XAUUSD is attempting a minor counter-correction within a broader corrective phase. The M15 expansion level at 4129.14 is the structural trigger for continuation toward 4204–4246, but the move remains fragile as long as price trades below the daily breakout pivot. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.Since there is a new H1 countertrend, as long as the idea is valid, the trigger moved to the H1 breakdown.H4 closed below invalidation level.