Technical analysis by hossammetawee about Symbol PAXG on 10/21/2025

The 5% drop in gold within a session or two as we see it now is not just a passing number - it is an event with very strong connotations First: from a statistical and technical perspective •A 5% drop in gold is considered an unusual movement (Exception Move). •The average normal daily fluctuation of gold = 0.7% - 1.2% only. •So, a 5% drop means a huge institutional move (Institutional Liquidity Sweep) and not a normal correction from individual traders. ️ Second: From the perspective of the QLTS structural strategy 📉 What happened? •BOS was clearly broken on the 4-hour frame. •Huge buy-side liquidity sweep above $4,355, followed by a sharp selling rush. •The price moved directly to the Equilibrium Zone between 4,214 – 4,111. •This area is a re-distribution area and is not an immediate reversal. ⸻ 🔍 Third: Is it a trend change or a temporary correction? Gold is still in a structural upward trend, but the current decline represents an intermediate corrective wave (Wave 4) after a very strong overbought wave in the third wave. That is, it is a deep and strong correction (5%), but it is not a trend change unless it breaks $3,723-$3,580. Fourth: How to deal with him? 1Do not enter a direct purchase during a 5% collapse - the market is redistributing liquidity. 2Wait for absorption candles or a new bullish BOS from the 1H or 2H frame. 3Watch the area 3,949–3,723 because it is the activation area for the upcoming fifth ascending wave, God willing. 4If it breaks $3,580 with a daily candle, only then will we re-evaluate and consider that the trend has actually changed. ⸻ 🧭 Executive summary 🔸 The 5% decline in gold is a strong institutional correction within a larger uptrend. 🔸 The general structure has not changed yet, unless $3,580 is broken. 🔸 The closest possible area for the correction to end = $3,949 – $3,723. 🔸 After that, it is expected that a new upward wave (Wave 5) will begin, targeting the highs of $4,400+ again.