Technical analysis by fibcos about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (10/7/2025)

📈 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Super Cycle, Macro & Sub-Macro Wave Breakdown (1971–2026+) Elliott Wave | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Price Action | Long-Term Technical Outlook 🧭 Summary Gold (XAU/USD) is currently unfolding a historic Super Cycle Wave ③ , which began in 2000 . The wave structure is supported by Fibonacci precision, Smart Money behavior, and Macroeconomic alignment. We are currently in Macro Wave (v) of Super Cycle ③ — subdividing into a micro 5-wave impulse — with Wave 3 in progress and targeting ~$4,500 , and the final Wave 5 expected to reach $6,000+ before a multi-year correction begins. 🔱 Super Cycle Waves (1971–2026) Super Cycle Wave ① (1971–1980) – “The Fiat Escape” Gold surged from $35 to ~$850 after the end of the gold standard Strong 5-wave impulse as inflation exploded and fiat credibility dropped Wave 3 was dominant; Wave 5 ended in speculative mania This wave established gold as a hedge against inflation and monetary collapse Super Cycle Wave ② (1980–2000) – “The Structural Reset” Multi-decade correction after the parabolic rise Price fell from ~$850 to ~$250, forming a complex A–B–C structure Long accumulation period with institutional repositioning Deep ~0.786% retracement of Wave ① — typical for Wave ② Set the stage for a massive base leading into Wave ③ Super Cycle Wave ③ (2000–2026+) – “The Great Expansion Phase” (In Progress) Started from ~$250 in 2000, expected to end near $6,000+ by 2026 Divides into five Macro Waves: (i) to (v) Currently in Macro Wave (v) , subdividing into five Micro/Sub-Macro Waves 🔹 Macro Wave Breakdown (within Super Cycle ③) Macro Wave (i): 2000–2006 Breakout above 1980 ATHs — confirmed start of Super Cycle ③ Early Smart Money accumulation Wave structure: clean impulse with confirmation of macro trend shift Macro Wave (ii): 2006–2008 Sharp correction to ~0.618% retracement Bottomed during 2008 financial crisis Set institutional demand zone and final BOS before liftoff Macro Wave (iii): 2008–2011 Strongest wave in the macro structure — classic Wave ③ behavior Price exploded to ~$1,900 Momentum, volume, and sentiment peaked Macro Wave (iv): 2011–2015/16 Prolonged correction in ABCDE triangle or complex flat form Ended near 0.618 retracement Time-based correction — Smart Money reaccumulated Macro Wave (v): 2016–2026 (In Progress) Final macro impulse subdividing into 5 Micro/Sub-Macro waves Currently in Micro Wave 3 — targeting ~$4,500 Final Wave 5 could push price above $6,000 🔻 Sub-Macro / Micro Wave Breakdown (within Macro Wave (v)) Micro Wave 1: 2016–2020 Strong impulse breaking above 2011 highs Structural BOS confirmed new bullish expansion Micro Wave 2: 2020–2018 (In Time Overlap) ~0.618 retracement back to OB zone near $1,680–$1,750 Clean liquidity sweep and reaccumulation phase Micro Wave 3: 2018–2025 (Active) Currently unfolding — strongest leg of this impulse Fibonacci 1.618 extension projects target at ~$4,500 BOS and volume confirm trend continuation Micro Wave 4: Projected 2026 Expected shallow correction or time-based pullback Will likely form a flat or zigzag pattern Targeting 0.236%–0.382% retracement of Wave 3 Micro Wave 5: 2027–2028 Final push toward $6,000–$6,500 Completion of Macro Wave (v) and Super Cycle Wave ③ Followed by potential multi-year Wave ④ correction 📐 Fibonacci Highlights Across All Degrees Macro Wave (ii) retraced ~0.618 of (i) Macro Wave (iv) retraced ~0.50 of (iii) Micro Wave 2 retraced ~0.618 of Micro Wave 1 Micro Wave 3 targets 1.618 extension → ~$4,500 Macro Wave (v) targets 3.618 of (i)–(iii) → $6,045–$6,500 🧠 Smart Money Confluence Breaks of Structure after each key wave completion confirm direction Institutional Order Blocks respected in Wave (ii), (iv), and Micro Wave 2 Engineered liquidity sweeps prior to major expansions Price compressions and OB retests act as Smart Money footprints 🔑 Key Levels to Watch $2,956–$3,120 – Institutional OB and structural support $3,977 – BoS zone; breakout above confirms Wave 3 continuation $4,500 – Projected top of Micro Wave 3 $6,045–$6,500 – Final Super Cycle Wave ③ target range 🔮 What Comes After Wave ③? Once Super Cycle Wave ③ completes: Expect a multi-year Wave ④ correction Likely a complex flat or triangle structure Possible consolidation between $4,000–$5,000 Could last several years before final Wave ⑤ begins 🧾 Final Outlook We are in a major macro impulse, with alignment across all wave degrees: ✅ Super Cycle ③ still in progress ✅ Macro Wave (v) active since 2016 ✅ Micro Wave 3 unfolding now toward ~$4,500 ✅ Final Micro Wave 5 to push toward $6,000+ ✅ All retracements and extensions respect Fibonacci precision ✅ Smart Money structure confirms trend continuation This remains a historic bullish opportunity in gold, possibly concluding the most powerful wave in the modern history of the metal. 📘 DISCLAIMER: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management #Gold #XAUUSD #ElliottWave #WaveTheory #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook