Technical analysis by GoldFxMinds about Symbol PAXG on 10/4/2025

Gold keeps climbing with daily candles stretched to extremes. This is the Daily Outlook for the upcoming week, built only from D1 structure — a complete tactical map from top to bottom. Macro & News Context Next week: FOMC speeches + Powell + NFP. The dollar is weak but fragile, and gold is testing the upper edge of its range. A soft NFP = final push higher; a strong one = correction. Bias — Bullish, but extremely extended Daily trend structure stays bullish — EMAs aligned, momentum intact — but candles show compression and exhaustion near resistance. The market trades inside premium territory, where even a minor dollar rebound can cause a 300–500-pip washout. 🟥 Daily Supply Zones (Active Resistance Layers) 3 875 – 3 905 → “Premium Supply Range” Current ceiling; visible rejection tails and volume absorption. 3 940 – 3 970 → “Extension Supply Zone” Next liquidity pocket above the current high — triggered only by a clean break of 3 905. 4 000 – 4 040 → “Extreme Supply Zone” The ultimate expansion area — top of this bullish cycle. 🟦 Daily Demand Zones (Active Support Layers) 3 820 – 3 850 → “Micro Re-Accumulation Zone” Fresh daily base formed mid-week — small but critical pocket where buyers defended the last impulsive leg. 3 720 – 3 750 → “Immediate Demand Zone” First major daily support — 21EMA confluence, base of the previous breakout candle. 3 640 – 3 670 → “Intermediate Demand Zone” Secondary structural shelf — re-test zone of the prior expansion, valid if correction extends. Bullish Scenario If bulls defend 3 820–3 850, momentum can rebuild for a breakout above 3 905, targeting 3 940–3 970, and possibly 4 000–4 040 under dovish macro tone. Continuation needs strong-bodied daily closes and no upper-wick fades near supply. Bearish Scenario If price fails to hold the 3 820–3 850 pocket, sellers could drive a deeper correction into 3 720–3 750, and if macro pressure builds, extend toward 3 640–3 670 for re-accumulation. A daily close below 3 750 confirms the correction phase. Targets (Daily Context Only) Upside Zones: 3 940 – 3 970 → Extension | 4 000 – 4 040 → Extreme Top Downside Zones: 3 820 – 3 850 → Micro Base | 3 720 – 3 750 → Immediate | 3 640 – 3 670 → Intermediate Conclusion Gold’s D1 structure is still bullish but hyper-extended. The market now oscillates between the Premium Supply Range (3 875–3 905) and Micro Demand at 3 820–3 850 — a tight control zone that will decide whether gold expands again or breathes out. Below 3 750 = correction; above 3 905 = continuation. Price always whispers before it moves — the structure tells the truth. That’s not luck, it’s discipline and timing. Follow, like and comment if you map the move before it happens ⚡