Technical analysis by GoldFxMinds about Symbol PAXG on 10/4/2025

Gold trades inside compression, building energy for the next directional leg. This is the H1 Outlook for the upcoming week — a full structural forecast built exclusively from the H1 chart, mapping what price could do next if key levels break. Macro & Flow Context Next week brings heavy catalysts: Powell, multiple FOMC speeches, and NFP on Friday. Liquidity will be the key driver — gold is sitting under a thick ceiling after weeks of expansion, and the market is preparing for either a continuation squeeze or a weekly correction phase. All setups will form from this compression range. Bias — Bullish but near exhaustion The H1 structure remains in a controlled uptrend — higher lows, clean impulses, and shallow pullbacks. However, multiple rejections from 3,885–3,895 show momentum fading. Bulls still dominate, but control is fragile; any failed breakout could cascade into a multi-day retracement. 🟥 H1 Supply Zones 3,885 – 3,895 → Immediate Supply Zone The key short-term ceiling — market rejected this area multiple times. A breakout here will define the week’s bullish extension. 3,910 – 3,930 → Expansion Supply Zone The first target if 3,895 breaks clean — continuation range with thin structure above. 3,950 – 3,970 → Weekly Extension Supply Zone If gold expands, this becomes the exhaustion zone — where the next weekly reaction likely forms. 🟦 H1 Demand Zones 3,860 – 3,875 → Intraday Demand Zone Closest structural base — still holding control for buyers. A break below here opens retracement scope for the week. 3,820 – 3,840 → Mid-Level Demand Zone Previous re-accumulation zone — strong potential re-test area if volatility increases. 3,770 – 3,790 → Deep Demand Zone Weekly structure base — where the next wave could reload if correction develops further. Forecast Scenarios (Weekly Context on H1) Bullish Continuation Path If gold sustains above 3,860, bulls can attempt a clean breakout through 3,895 early in the week. That opens the path to 3,910–3,930, and if macro data stays soft, price could extend toward 3,950–3,970 — where exhaustion and possible weekly reaction are likely. A weekly close above 3,930 would confirm continuation into new premium territory. Bearish Correction Path If 3,885–3,895 holds as a cap and rejection repeats, gold may rotate downward, first into 3,860–3,875, then 3,820–3,840 as deeper structure gets tested. If the lower pocket breaks, the correction could unfold toward 3,770–3,790, where a larger re-accumulation base for the next bullish leg could form. A weekly close below 3,820 would confirm correction bias for the next sessions. Targets (Weekly Forecast from H1) Upside Zones: 3,910–3,930 → 3,950–3,970 Downside Zones: 3,820–3,840 → 3,770–3,790 Conclusion The H1 chart shows a market on the edge — bulls still hold structure, but pressure is visible. The range between 3,860 and 3,895 is the tactical line for the week ahead: break above, and gold expands; fail again, and correction unfolds. Next week’s tone will be set by how price reacts inside this narrow compression pocket. Price always whispers before it moves — the structure tells the truth. That’s not luck, it’s discipline and timing. Follow, like and comment if you map the move before it happens ⚡old — From Pressure to Breakout In the first chart, Gold was still compressed under the short-term ceiling, hovering around 3895–3910, while liquidity built quietly below. Momentum was trapped — demand layers were clean, but buyers weren’t ready to engage yet. In the new chart, that same structure unfolded perfectly: ✅ The active demand area (3895–3910) held like a wall. ✅ Price expanded straight into the reaction zone (3975–3990), where liquidity is now being absorbed. We’ve moved from pressure to confirmation — the short-term ceiling became the launch pad. Now, the battlefield is 3980–3993: → Stay below → pullback toward 3960–3948. → Break and hold above → liquidity extends to 4000–4015. Gold is not chasing — it’s collecting. Every dip tells the story of continuation. 🔥 Premium flow: precise, patient, and unfolding exactly as planned. Follow GoldFxMinds for the next tactical shift 🚀