Technical analysis by fxbeckz about Symbol PAXG: Sell recommendation (10/3/2025)

1. Supply Zone Clearly marked supply zone at the top of the chart (where price is currently reacting). Context: This area was created after a strong move down, making it a valid institutional supply area. Reaction: Price has tapped into that zone and is showing rejection — a great signal that smart money could be distributing here. ✅ Lesson: Always sell from premium zones when HTF context supports it. 🔁 2. Liquidity Sweep (LO/NY Highs Taken) I've labeled a "LQDT SWEEP", which shows price ran the liquidity (equal highs) formed during London/New York session. Why it matters: This is classic smart money behavior — run the highs to induce breakout buyers, then reverse. Consequence: After liquidity is taken, smart money often repositions in the opposite direction. ✅ Lesson: Never chase breakouts blindly. When liquidity is swept near a key supply zone, it’s time to think reversal. 🟥 3. Market Structure Shift (MSS) After the sweep, price makes a lower high and begins forming lower lows — a shift from bullish to bearish structure on this 15M TF. I’ve marked an imbalance/FVG just below the supply — acting as a key entry point for institutional sells. ✅ Lesson: Combine structural shifts with supply zones and liquidity sweeps for a high-probability short setup. ⛽ 4. Entry at Premium (FVG + OTE Confluence) I've got FVGs marked out (30M & 15M) and my Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone aligns perfectly below price. Price is rejecting this premium area, offering you the best risk-to-reward entry. ✅ Lesson: Never sell in the middle of a range. Wait for price to come into a premium (above equilibrium), then confirm. 📊 5. Session Context (Time of Day Matters) I'm tracking sessions smartly — price swept the highs during London/early New York, the most liquid and manipulative time. Why it matters: This is when banks and algos move the market. Reversal setups during this window — especially after liquidity grabs — are more reliable. ✅ Lesson: Not all setups are equal — the time of day adds major weight to your bias. 📉 6. Clean Targets Below Imbalance below Demand zone / FVG PDL (Previous Day’s Low) These are perfect draw-on-liquidity targets for this short. ✅ Lesson: Know where the market is likely to go, not just where to enter. 🔥 Final Tip: If price breaks below the FVG and closes under the OTE zone with momentum, consider adding to the position or moving SL to breakeven. If it reclaims the highs again, cut the loss quickly — no stubborn trading.