Technical analysis by fxbeckz about Symbol PAXG: Sell recommendation (10/2/2025)

✅ Key Reasons for Expecting a SELL: 1. M5 & M15 Supply Zone Confluence The price is entering a strong supply zone marked by M5 and M15 confirmations, which shows prior aggressive selling. These zones are historically where institutions or smart money have entered large sell positions. A return to this zone often leads to a reaction as new sell orders are triggered and previous positions are reloaded. Note: “I WANT TO SEE IF HIS LIQUIDITY IS SWEPT AT THIS LEVEL” — and it has been. Liquidity above previous highs (buy stops) to be swept, trapping breakout buyers. Liquidity grab often precedes a market reversal — it’s a classic smart money move to engineer liquidity for better short entries. 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) + Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) There's an M5 Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the supply zone, indicating imbalance. Price filled this FVG (inefficiency corrected), and is now expected to reverse. OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) in the premium zone supports this as a high-probability short area. 4. Displacement + Lower Timeframe Structure Break If you zoom in, you’ll see micro breaks of structure (BOS) forming. These breaks suggest weakening bullish momentum and early signs of bearish pressure building. 5. Trading Session Timing (London + NY Open) High volatility sessions (London/NY overlap) are ideal for smart money moves. Institutions love to reverse price during these windows to catch traders offside. Chart shows this pattern repeating during previous sessions. 6. Projected Move Based on Liquidity Targets The drawn-out blue arrow shows a projection toward: 3,854.09 (intraday support) Then 3,831.41 (deeper liquidity pool) Eventually toward 3,815.55, where previous demand sits. This projection aligns with liquidity engineering principles — price often seeks out where the most orders are stacked (liquidity pools). 🧠 Professional Insight "Don't chase the move, anticipate the trap." I expect price to manipulate up into premium pricing, sweep liquidity, and then deliver downside movement — classic smart money reversal behavior. 📌 Entry, Stop, and Target (Ideal Setup) Entry: Within M5/M15 Supply Zone after sweep and rejection Stop Loss: Just above the supply zone / last swing high Targets: First TP: 3,854.09 (structure support) Second TP: 3,831.41 (liquidity zone) Final TP: 3,815.55 (demand re-entry or continuation point) Final Note: If price breaks and closes above SUPPLY ZONE, the SELL will be invalid and also keep an eye if theres any upcoming fundamentals that may disrupt trade entry.