Technical analysis by fxbeckz about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (9/30/2025)

🧭 1. Directional Bias: Bullish Higher timeframe (HTF) structure is clearly in a strong uptrend: Consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) are printed on the chart. Pice has respected ascending trendlines. The most recent break of structure confirms bullish momentum continuation. This is the first thing I look at: "Am I trading with the trend, or against it? I don't argue with structure." ✅ I'm trading with the dominant HTF momentum — smart move. 🧱 2. Demand Zone + Fair Value Gap (FVG)/Imbalance Confluence A clear H4 FVG/Imbalance between ~3765 and ~3787 That overlaps with a structural support zone / demand area Trendline support is also sloping up into this zone i'm not buying into extended price, i'm waiting for a discounted entry into demand, where: Buyers previously stepped in aggressively Liquidity (sells into demand) can be used to fuel longs Thought Process: “If I were an institution, I’d want to accumulate in this FVG at a discount after breaking structure — and that’s exactly where I’ll position myself.” 🔍 3. Break of Structure = Confirmation of Intent Price previously consolidated, then: Broke above a previous HH Left behind imbalance and demand Now retracing back for a retest This is classic market maker behavior: Break structure Create imbalance Retrace to demand Continue the move I'm planning to enter on the retrace, not chasing the breakout. 🛡 4. Risk Defined Precisely Stop-loss is placed below the demand zone and FVG, outside the “noise zone” My take profit is well above — at a clear level (potentially ATH or next resistance) I'm giving the trade room to breathe, while keeping R:R healthy — a minimum 2:1 looks likely here. Note: “If the trade fails, it means structure is invalidated, not just noise. I don’t want to be stopped on wicks.” 🔺 5. Liquidity Logic I'm showing you clear understanding of liquidity, not just technical levels: I'm not longing after impulsive moves — I'm waiting for liquidity to be built up and swept I'm entering after stop hunts, not before I'm thinking institutionally, not retail. Thought Process: “Where are weak hands positioned? Where are stops sitting? Where would smart money enter against them?”