Technical analysis by sorooshx about Symbol HYPE on 9/25/2025

Hey guys, I am going to chart #HYPEUSDT today... Price: $35.04 Down 23.08% (7d) after pullback from $45 ATH. Technical Analysis: Supports: $33, $30 Resistance: $40, $45 RSI: 42 (daily, sell) MACD: Bearish, histogram narrowing EMAs: Below 20-day ($40), above 50-day ($35) Bollinger: Near lower band ($34) HYPE/BTC Chart Analysis: Ratio: 0.0000005 Supports: 0.00000045, 0.0000004 Resistance: 0.00000055, 0.0000006 RSI: 45 (daily, sell) MACD: Bearish, histogram contracting Patterns: Retest of channel support (September 18–25) Bearish Engulfing: September 20 Doji: September 19 On-Chain Analysis: MVRV: Neutral, slight undervaluation Exchange Reserves: Stable, moderate selling Whale Activity: $100M accumulation (weekly) Coin Days Destroyed: Moderate, profit-taking Glassnode Funding Rate: Negative on CEXs (SorooshX/OKX perpetual futures -0.005%, favoring shorts; indicates caution) Fundamental News: Macro: Fed rate cut signals Q4 2025 Regulatory: CFTC comments on DeFi frameworks Institutional: $29B daily volume on Hyperliquid (August 2025) Social Sentiment: 300K+ #HYPE mentions on X 50% bullish (ATH pullback debates, adoption focus) Trend & Chart Patterns: Channel Retest: Support at $33 (September 18–25) Bearish Engulfing: September 20 Doji: September 19 Trend: Bearish short-term, rebound if $33 holds Long-term: $55–$68 - $88 - $100 (2026) Buy/Sell Signal: Hold (50% confidence) Rationale: Bearish RSI/MACD, negative funding rates, and pullback from ATH suggest caution. On-chain accumulation and volume support rebound. Risks: Further dip if $33 breaks. Hold or buy on dips: $33 or $30 Stop-loss: <$30 Target: $40 short-term, $58 - $68 (Q1 2026) Disclaimer: Research before investing. #HYPE