Technical analysis by ArmanShabanTrading about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (9/15/2025)

By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price broke the key $3,657 level, just as expected, and today it even printed a new ATH at an impressive $3,685! As you know, this week is the interest rate decision week, and markets are preparing for a rate cut — either 0.25% or 0.5%. Each scenario can have a different level of impact: a 0.5% cut could easily push gold above $3,700–$3,740. Right now, gold is trading around $3,679. As long as it does not break and close below $3,674, we can expect some sideways movement followed by more upside, with the first target at $3,700. However, there’s also an important FVG (Fair Value Gap) between $3,664 and $3,674. If the first scenario fails, gold could sharply drop to fill this gap. I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected over the past two sessions. After correcting down to $3,674, this key support level held strong and prevented further decline. From there, gold resumed its rally, reaching $3,699.44 and printing a new ATH. Currently, gold is trading around $3,695, with heavy volatility in this area. As long as the price holds above the $3,674–$3,684 zone, we can expect another bullish wave. The next possible upside targets are $3,707 and $3,717.By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price resumed its rally as expected, reaching $3,703 and printing another new ATH. After that, it corrected down to $3,678, where strong demand stepped in, pushing the price back up to $3,695.5. Currently, gold is trading around $3,685. With the Fed interest rate decision coming soon, I expect heavy volatility in both directions as liquidity gets swept before the next clear trend forms. Markets are already pricing in a 25 bps rate cut, so if that happens, the reaction may be limited. But if the cut is larger (50 bps), we could see a strong pump in gold. On the other hand, if no cut is announced, a sharp dump is likely. Be careful with your trades and stay tuned for more updates!