Technical analysis by HexaTrades about Symbol ETH: Buy recommendation (9/6/2025)

The above ETH chart highlights the historical relationship between Ethereum’s weekly RSI and major cycle peaks. The red sell zone (RSI above 80) has consistently marked high-risk areas where ETH price eventually topped out. 📜Historical Patterns 🔷 2017 Bull Run - RSI reached 98 (extreme overbought). - ETH price peaked soon after. - A bearish divergence followed, where ETH made higher highs while RSI made lower highs — signaling exhaustion before the major correction. 🔷 2021 Bull Run - RSI peaked at 92, lower than the 2017 cycle. - ETH price again topped within this red sell zone. -A clear bearish divergence formed as ETH pushed to new highs while RSI declined. This preceded the end of the cycle. 🔷 Current Cycle (2025) -RSI is trending higher and approaching the 80+ sell zone once again. - Based on the cycle-to-cycle decline (98 → 92 → projected 85), this run could see its RSI peak around 85. - If ETH price enters the 80+ RSI zone while forming a bearish divergence, ETH could be trading in the $6K–$7K range. - The projected timing for this peak is late Q4 2025 or early Q1 2026. 📉 Declining RSI Peaks Show Market Maturity -Each bull run has shown a lower RSI peak compared to the last (2017: 98 → 2021: 92 → projected 2025: 85). -This reflects ETH’s market maturity: price continues to grow, but volatility and overbought extremes decline cycle by cycle. 🐻 Bearish Divergence Watch - After previous RSI peaks, ETH displayed a consistent bearish divergence: Price → higher highs RSI → lower highs - This pattern has historically signaled weakening momentum before a macro top. - We could see a similar divergence formation in the current cycle, marking a potential exhaustion phase. 🎯 Trading Implications - RSI above 80 = high-risk sell zone. - A projected RSI peak near 85 could align with ETH’s cycle high. - ETH may trade in the $6K–$7K range if this setup plays out.\ - Expected peak timing: end of Q4 2025 or beginning of Q1 2026. - Monitoring RSI and divergence signals will be key in spotting the top. Conclusion: In 2017, ETH peaked with the RSI hitting 98, while in 2021 the RSI topped at 92. For the current 2025 cycle, the projected RSI peak is around 85. This consistent decline in RSI peaks across cycles highlights ETH’s market maturity, with reduced volatility as the asset grows. Historically, each major top has also been preceded by a bearish divergence, and a similar setup could form again. Traders should remain cautious as ETH approaches the red sell zone above 80 RSI. Cheers Hexa ETH ETHUSD ETHUSDT