Technical analysis by Wavervanir_International_LLC about Symbol TSLAX: Buy recommendation (8/24/2025)

Wavervanir_International_LLC

AI Forecast (VolanX Protocol) Current Price: $340.01 30-Day Target: $387.70 → +14.0% upside Institutional Trade Plan: Entry: $340.01 Stop Loss: $314.45 Targets: $346.81 / $387.70 Risk/Reward: 1.87:1 Model Agreement: 8/9 bullish Technical Structure (4H Chart): Broke above a triangular consolidation, now testing equilibrium from below. Key support levels: $313.60 / $301.30 (discount zone). Resistance / extension zones lined up at: First: $368–$369 Extended: $400–$402 (1.618–2.618 fib levels). Macro Catalysts & Market Context: Fed Rate Sentiment Improving: Powell hinted at possible September rate cuts; markets rallied with Tesla leading, rising 6%. Value Sense Blog +6 Barron's +6 Investors +6 Investopedia +1 EV Tax Credit Flexibility: New IRS guidance allows buyers to secure the $7,500 credit via contracts before Sept 30, potentially boosting demand. Investors +1 Mixed Q2 Fundamentals: Q2 saw declining deliveries & regulatory credits; Musk warned of “rough quarters” ahead, but emphasized AI & robotaxi growth. Investors +6 Investors +6 New York Post +6 Geopolitical Risks & Tariffs: Tariff pressure, fading EV credits, and sales underperformance in key regions keep long-term risks present. Analyst targets range widely. Investopedia MarketWatch Value Sense Blog Investors Probabilistic Outcome Mix: Base Case (50%) → $346–$368 (near-term resistance test aligned with AI target) Bull Extension (25%) → $387–$402 if macro tailwinds persist and structure sustains breakout Bear Risk (25%) → Breakdown below $340 could retest $313–$301 Trade Setup Breakdown: Long Entry: $340 Stop: $315 Take Profit #1: $368 Take Profit #2: $388 Option: scale into $400s if breakout momentum holds Why It Matters: This setup represents AI-driven momentum meeting technical trend alignment and favorable macro catalysts. If Fed signals, EV policy flexibility, and optimism around Tesla’s AI/autonomy can power continued upside, $387–$400 becomes very plausible. However, macro risks and execution hurdles need monitoring.