Technical analysis by BOT721 about Symbol GOOGLX: Sell recommendation (2/4/2025)

Alphabet is currently trading at $205. While it could still move higher, several factors might drive the price lower soon: Extended Distance from 55 EMA: The stock hasn’t touched the 55-day EMA for 147 days. While this doesn’t mean a pullback will happen immediately, a sharper downside move is possible. Bearish Divergence: The RSI has formed a lower high, while the price has made a higher high, signaling a potential bearish divergence. Fundamental Risks – AI & Earnings: Earnings Report on Tuesday: Alphabet will report its earnings, and investors will focus on its high AI-related expenditures. Revenue Growth Concerns: The company may have experienced slower revenue growth in Q4 due to weakness in advertising and cloud services. Competitive Pressure in AI: Chinese startup DeepSeek recently launched low-cost AI models, raising concerns over a potential AI price war, which could impact Alphabet’s profitability. While Alphabet remains strong, combining technical weakness and fundamental risks (earnings pressure, AI spending, and increased competition) could lead to a correction. If a pullback occurs, the 55 EMA could act as a key support level. 92% of positions are long. We all know the old saying—most people lose in trading. So if 92% of the market is long, we should at least be short for the moment. This extreme bullish positioning suggests a potential contrarian opportunity, as overly crowded trades often lead to sharp reversals.