Technical analysis by Sajefallah about Symbol PAXG on 8/14/2025

Sajefallah

Hello everyone, Today, I'm sharing a classic long setup analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe. This setup is built entirely on the powerful Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / ICT framework, which helps us understand the institutional order flow and the actions of major market players Step-by-Step Breakdown of the Bullish Scenario: This setup consists of three key, classic stages: 1. Liquidity Engineering & HUNT: As you can see on the chart, the price first made an intelligent move below the significant previous lows (the HUNT area), sweeping the sell-side liquidity that had built up (marked with $$$$$$$$$$). This move is designed to trigger the stop-losses of retail traders, allowing institutional players to fill their buy orders at a discount. 2. Market Structure Shift (mms): Immediately following the liquidity hunt, we witnessed a powerful impulsive move to the upside, which broke through a significant previous lower high (the mms point). This is our most critical confirmation that the order flow has shifted from bearish to bullish, indicating that buyers have now taken control of the market. 3. Return to Demand Zone (The Entry): Currently, the price is in a natural corrective phase or pullback, retracing to the origin of the bullish impulse. This area, identified as an Internal Order Block (Internal OB), serves as our primary Point of Interest (POI) or Demand Zone. This is where we anticipate smart money to step back in to defend their positions, providing us with a high-probability entry point to align with them. The Trade Plan: Entry: 3,363.112 (Entering within the upper range of the demand zone). Stop Loss: 3,349.196 (This SL is placed logically below the Internal OB. A break below this level would invalidate our bullish scenario). Take Profit: 3,402.495 (The target is set at a key buy-side liquidity pool or a previous high, where the price is likely to be drawn to). Risk Management Disclaimer: This analysis represents my personal viewpoint and is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered a financial signal to buy or sell. Please conduct your own due diligence and practice strict risk and money management before entering any trade. I hope you find this analysis insightful. I would love to hear your thoughts and perspectives in the comments below. If you liked this idea, please support me with a Like and Follow!