Fundamental analysis by پایگاه قهرمانی بورس about Stock قرن on 8/13/2025

پایگاه قهرمانی بورس
The "Periods When To Make Money" chart is an old model for predicting market cycles developed by George Tritch in the nineteenth century (with some disagreements on whether the idea belongs to Samuel Benner, a farmer from Ohio, or not). The chart is based on repeated patterns in financial markets and offers investors to buy or sell at specific times. ### Chart structure: This model divides the market into three main categories: 1. Curriculum (A): The years that are marked by the fear of the market and the start of the Bear Market. Examples include 1929 (the Great Recess), 2000 (Datcom Bubble), and 2008 (financial crisis). 2. Good Courses (B): The times when the market is at the peak and the sale of assets is recommended. Like the 1927, 1999, and 2007. 3. Hard periods (C): The years where prices are at the lowest level and are a good opportunity to buy. For example, 2023 has been introduced as a "C" year. ### Time Disposal: - Period A (horror): Every 1, 2, or 2 years is repeated. - Period B (good): Every 1, 2, or 2 years happens. - Period C (Hard): Cycles are 1–2, 1–2, or 2-5 years old. ### Application in today's markets: The chart has recently become popular on social networks, especially with predicting purchase in 2023 and sales in the coming years like 2026. Some analysts point out that the model has predicted some historical crises such as the 2008 financial crisis or the Coveid-19 epidemic. ### Criticism and limitations: - Scientific support: Titch used astronomical concepts (such as the influence of planets' orbit) to justify the cycles, which is unscientific for modern analysts. -Poor performance compared to Buy-And Hold Strategy: Historical tests show that long-term in the Market has been much more profitable than market scheduling. For example, the initial capital of $ 2 a year with the Buy-And-Hold strategy reaches $ 2.9 by the year, while the best strategy based on the chart only profit $ 4.9. - Inadequate accuracy: Although this model has predicted some crises, it has not always been accurate. For example, in the "horror" periods (A), the market had positive efficiency in 1.5% of cases. ### Conclusion: The Periods when to make MONEY is an attractive tool for understanding market cycles, but it should not be based on investment decisions alone. It is recommended to combine with fundamental analysis and risk management. As Warren Buffet says, "Fear" when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are afraid. "