Technical analysis by BenRoses about Symbol TSLAX on 5/15/2025

The chart of Tesla Inc. (TSLA) on the daily timeframe shows a potential major top formation and subsequent range-bound consolidation, hinting at possible exhaustion. Let's break it down technically: 1. Topping Zone (Marked Purple Box) This upper zone (~$380–$460) represents a distribution area: Volume: Notice the volume declines slightly during the uptrend, suggesting weakening conviction on the rally. Followed by increased red bars during the drop – classic distribution. Price Action: A blow-off move to the top followed by lower highs. This indicates buyer exhaustion. 2. Consolidation Range (Marked Yellow Box) After the drop, TSLA enters a range between ~$240 and ~$350: This is a classic bear flag / rectangle, and often follows a top pattern. It looks like lower highs and higher lows are forming, but price has just returned to the upper end of the range. We're now testing the upper resistance ($360), which is a decision point for either breakout or rejection. Conclusions Current volume remains muted during the recovery, which is not bullish. A true uptrend needs rising volume. Volume pattern supports a “bear market rally” narrative. If we pull a Fib from the top (~$460) to the bottom (~$240): The current level (~$342) aligns closely with the 61.8% retracement, a classic reversal zone in downtrends. Strong resistance is expected around this area. Moving Averages (50D & 200D): The 50-day MA is curving up from below, and price might be hitting resistance. The 200-day MA is overhead, it creates a death cross scenario in past data. 🔔 Summary – Are We at a Top? Yes, this looks like a potential short-term top within a broader bearish context.