Technical analysis by BenRoses about Symbol TSLAX: Buy recommendation (7/10/2025)

Let’s reassess TSLA now that we have this new candle (a big move +4.73%) in context. This changes things substantially, so I’ll reapply candlestick techniques, assess trend health, box positioning, and momentum. Candlestick Analysis The new candle: Large white body (+4.7%) closing at $309.87. Engulfing prior 2 candles’ real bodies → this is a Bullish Engulfing Pattern. Occurs near the 50% retracement ($290) zone (previous support). Volume expanded vs prior days → adds validity. Bullish engulfing after a down leg is an early reversal signal. Context: This happens after weeks of indecision candles (spinning tops / dojis) → classic “coiling” behavior before expansion. Trend Health & Momentum MACD: Still below zero but histogram bars turning less negative → momentum starting to shift. RSI: Up to ~47.6, breaking out of its down channel. A move >50 would confirm momentum pivot. Box Dynamics TSLA just punched through the upper edge of Box 2 ($300) with conviction. Now entering “no man’s land” between Box 2 ($300–$360) and Box 1 ($360–$465). For a sustained breakout it must close above $306–310 range for 2-3 days. Ideally see follow-through with a test of $328 (78.6% Fib). Tactical Breakdown ✅ Breakout case (higher probability now): Bullish Engulfing + volume expansion at support zone. Closing above $306-310 increases odds of a run toward $328 (78.6%) and possibly $360. ❌ Reversal back down (lower probability): Only if TSLA immediately rejects $310 and falls back below $300 in the next 1–2 sessions. This price action looks like accumulation showing its hand. Large white candle suggests buyers absorbing supply at prior resistance. Breakout above $306 confirmed if follow-through continues. Odds for a reversal lower just dropped sharply after today’s engulfing.