Technical analysis by Wavervanir_International_LLC about Symbol GOOGLX: Buy recommendation (8/10/2025)

📈 Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) – Multi-Year Fibonacci Expansion Outlook Timeframe: 1M | Horizon: 2025–2027 🔍 Technical Overview Alphabet (GOOGL) has maintained a strong monthly uptrend after reclaiming the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $202.39. Price action is showing higher lows since late 2022, signaling accumulation and long-term institutional positioning. Key Fibonacci levels plotted from the 2022 low to the 2025 projected swing high suggest: 61.8%: $216.98 – Key breakout confirmation level. 78.6%: $237.77 – Strong resistance zone, potential partial profit area. 100%: $264.24 – Medium-term bullish target. 127.2%: $297.89 – First major expansion target into 2026. 161.8%: $340.69 – High-probability target for late 2026/early 2027 if macro tailwinds remain. 200%: $387.95 – Stretch target under euphoric conditions. 📊 Macro & Fundamental Context Earnings Resilience – Alphabet continues to deliver double-digit revenue growth, fueled by Search, YouTube, and Google Cloud. Margins remain robust despite AI-driven capex expansion. AI Adoption Cycle – Integration of Gemini AI across Search and Workspace could unlock significant incremental revenue and defend market share from competitors like MSFT/OpenAI. Digital Ad Market Recovery – Global ad spend is rebounding as consumer confidence stabilizes; this benefits Alphabet’s core segments disproportionately. Rate Policy Shift – With the Fed pivoting towards a neutral-to-dovish stance in late 2025 projections, mega-cap growth valuations may expand further. 📅 Outlook & Targets (24-Month Horizon) Base Case: $264.24 by mid-2026 (+31% from current levels). Bull Case: $297.89–$340.69 by late 2026 to early 2027 (+48%–69%). Bear Case: Failure to hold $187 support could revisit $167–$140 range. ⚠ Risk Factors Regulatory pressures in the U.S. and EU targeting antitrust and advertising models. AI monetization lag versus expectations. Macro shocks (geopolitical, recessionary) compressing tech multiples. 📝 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice) I’m watching the $216–$218 zone closely — a clean monthly close above here strengthens the path toward $237 and beyond. Pullbacks toward $187–$190 could be attractive for positioning, provided macro data supports risk-on sentiment. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.Completed 5 wave structure can take it to 380 quickly. If we see impulses like we say last friday.