Technical analysis by Phillipklh about Symbol MANA: Buy recommendation (8/9/2025)

Decentraland (MANA) is currently advancing within a strongly aligned Elliott Wave structure. At the Cycle degree, the market is in Wave 1; at the Primary degree, it is in Wave 3; at the Intermediate degree, also in Wave 3; and at the Minor degree, in Wave 1. At the Minute degree, price is in the late stages of Wave 3. This smaller Wave 3 is approaching a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could act as resistance and mark the short-term top of this wave. Interestingly, the projected target for Wave 5 also aligns with a higher-level bearish FVG, adding structural confluence to the broader setup. While the overarching wave alignment remains bullish, there are a few elements to monitor closely. Funding rates are positive but leaning slightly toward the negative, suggesting a mild sentiment shift, while open interest continues to rise, indicating stronger market participation. However, the liquidity heatmap reveals a significant concentration of liquidity below the current price, which weighs against the immediate bullish continuation, as such liquidity often attracts short-term sweeps before the trend resumes. Market psychology could also play a major role in the next move. With Ethereum currently rallying strongly, there is a plausible rotation scenario: once ETH reaches a key resistance level and slows down, capital may rotate into second- and third-tier altcoins like MANA, accelerating their upside moves. Such rotations often coincide with euphoric retail behaviour, which can amplify both gains and volatility. From a macroeconomic perspective, this setup is further supported by expectations surrounding the upcoming September FOMC meeting. The CME FedWatch Tool currently shows a 88.9% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Markets tend to front-run such events, and this expectation could fuel bullish momentum into Wave 3 moves across the crypto sector. However, with sentiment leaning heavily bullish, there is also the risk of a “sell-the-news” reaction, especially if leveraged longs pile in too aggressively ahead of the announcement. Institutional positioning appears to have taken place earlier in the cycle, as evidenced by order block formations near the end of prior corrective waves, leaving retail traders to drive the next leg higher. This dynamic often defines the acceleration phase of a third wave. As long as key support levels hold and the structure remains intact, MANA’s multi-timeframe alignment suggests that the next impulsive rally could be substantial — though traders should remain mindful of the liquidity resting below, which could trigger a temporary shakeout before continuation.