Technical analysis by Mentor_Michael03 about Symbol PAXG: Sell recommendation (8/6/2025)

🔍 XAUUSD Chart Analysis – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Based 1. Market Structure Overview: The chart clearly shows a bullish market structure forming after a sequence of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) events. The market has consistently made Higher Lows, indicating strength from the bulls and institutional order flow to the upside. 2. Key Zones Identified: ✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand Area): Around $3,260–$3,280, this level has been respected multiple times. It is marked with BOS, CHoCH, and a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) indicating institutional accumulation and unfilled orders. The area also contains a Weak Low, which gives price a reason to stay above if bullish sentiment continues. ❌ Strong Resistance Zone (Supply Area): Around $3,420–$3,460, this area shows signs of Level Rejection and is labeled with Buy-Side Liquidity. This is where price previously reversed after grabbing liquidity—indicating distribution and possible shorting interest from smart money. 3. Liquidity Zones: Buy-Side Liquidity: Above recent swing highs near $3,420–$3,440. Price tapped this level and sharply rejected. Sell-Side Liquidity (Target Area): Currently aiming for the zone around $3,350, which aligns with a recent imbalance (FVG) and a clean liquidity pool below short-term higher lows. 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): A Bullish FVG is seen mid-chart, where price was rapidly driven up, leaving a gap—price later returned to this zone, respected it, and pushed higher again. This is a strong sign of institutional entry and provides excellent long entries. 5. Trend Confirmation: BOS + CHoCH + Higher Lows = Bullish Bias. Each low is forming higher than the previous, with strong rejections from demand zones. 6. Entry & Target Insight: Entry Point: After price reacted from support and printed another Higher Low. Target: Currently price is targeting $3,350 (short-term retracement or pullback target). This target is likely an internal liquidity sweep before potential continuation to retest the resistance zone again. 7. Educational Takeaways: Market Structure is King: Observe BOS/CHoCH for directional bias. Liquidity Matters: Understand where liquidity is resting—price seeks it. FVG as Entry Tool: Fair Value Gaps provide high-probability trade setups when aligned with structure. Patience at Key Zones: Wait for confirmations at resistance/support rather than impulsive trades. ✅ Summary: Bias: Bullish, until structure breaks. Short-Term Target: $3,350 (as per the chart). Long-Term View: If price maintains higher lows, potential revisit to the resistance zone ($3,420–$3,460) is likely. Invalidation Level: Break and close below strong support ($3,260) would shift bias.Our gold short trade is now active from the 3389 level. This level has acted as a key resistance zone, and we're anticipating a potential bearish reaction from here based on price structure and momentum indicators.Our XAUUSD short trade successfully hit the predefined target level, validating the bearish outlook. The price followed through with precision after confirming resistance near the 3389 zone and continued its downward move as anticipated.