Technical analysis by afurs1 about Symbol TSLAX: Buy recommendation (7/1/2025)

afurs1

A compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry. At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout. I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward. Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.This would be an epic snipe if we get continuation. Ive moved my stop up to the low of the wick around 290Also, this scenarioLooking at this is a fakeout/liquidity grab right into the previous value area high. A break and re-test confirmationThis thing isnt quite giving me the reaction I want, de-risking my positions by 70% until there is more dataAdded 50% back on the open for the strong reaction. Now my stop will be alot tighter at 290 on a daily close I will be out!Taking profits here as we hit resistance to cover my riskMy ideal scenarioOpening up into the support zone of 310 down to 300Following the exact trade planBig move looks like it is about to startUpdating my channel here for the triangle as I needed a 3 wave correction into pivot E which we now haveEntry: $303 Stop: $295 Target: $360-$400beauty so far, taking partial profts on this rise