Technical analysis by FX_Professor about Symbol AAPLX: Sell recommendation (7/31/2025)

🍎📉 Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction ⚠️🔍 After scanning major tech names today, one stock stood out— for all the wrong reasons : AAPL . Technically, Apple has broken below long-standing trendline support , and my chart now assigns a 70% probability(roughly guys...roughly and rounded) of further downside vs only 30% upside . But it's not just about the chart... Here’s the macro storm Apple is walking into: 🧭 1. Trade War Revival New tariffs on Chinese electronics could cost Apple up to $1.1B/quarter , even as it tries to diversify production. India and Vietnam are promising, but not mature enough to offset risk. 🤖 2. Lagging in the AI Arms Race While Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft pour $30B+ into AI, Apple is spending less than half that. Analysts weren’t impressed with “Apple Intelligence.” Siri still isn’t leading. 🇨🇳 3. China: Flatlining Growth, Rising Risk ~18% of Apple’s revenue still comes from China. With Huawei resurging and tightening regulations, Apple’s dominance is being chipped away. 🛑 4. Innovation Pipeline: Empty? There’s no iPhone super-cycle ahead. Vision Pro remains niche. Apple now looks like a mature tech stock without a breakout catalyst —risky when valuation is still premium. ⚖️ 5. Legal Pressure on Both Sides of the Atlantic The DOJ and EU are targeting Apple’s App Store dominance. If changes are enforced, the service revenue moat weakens. 🔽 Summary: This Isn’t Panic. It’s Repricing. The market is re-rating Apple based on real structural risks. Downside levels I’m watching: []📉 177.65 (first support) []📉 154.53 (next key level) ❗️134–113 zone if macro pressure escalates Chart = structure. Narrative = pressure. Both are aligned. Let me know your thoughts—still long AAPL , or hedging this weakness? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈