Technical analysis by TheAlphaView about Symbol SOL: Sell recommendation (7/22/2025)

🔻 4-Hour Bearish Thesis 🔸 Price Action Clues SOL is currently stalling at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (~$198.18) of the full macro move — a classic profit-taking zone. Multiple upper wicks and indecisive candles at resistance indicate supply absorption and buyer exhaustion. After a steep rally, price is moving sideways in a rising wedge/flag, which is a bearish continuation pattern if broken downward. 🔸 Momentum + RSI RSI at 76 is extended and flattening — often a zone where short-term pullbacks begin. No confirmed bearish divergence yet, but momentum is weakening compared to earlier stages of the rally. 🔸 Volume Profile Volume on recent pushes is lower than during breakout, suggesting diminishing bullish conviction. Bearish if a breakdown below $194 occurs — that's the former breakout level and wedge support. 🧨 4H Breakdown Confirmation Break below $194 (key short-term support) → opens downside targets: 🔻 $186–$182 (prior breakout base) 🔻 $171 (0.382 Fib retracement zone) 🔻 Daily Bearish Thesis 🔸 Price Action + Key Zone Price is pressing against the neckline target ($198.18) of the inverse H&S pattern. Stalling under the red resistance line and 0.5 Fib. Recent candle closed with a small upper wick + reduced body size, hinting at hesitation after a parabolic run. 🔸 RSI Risk RSI is at 80.41 — very overbought on daily. While not immediately bearish on its own, this often precedes either: Sharp correction, or Prolonged consolidation 🔸 Fibonacci & Macro Resistance $198–$200 is a confluence zone of: 0.5 Fib retracement Previous structural resistance Measured target of inverse H&S pattern ALREADY HIT. This is not a great spot to initiate new longs — any weakness here invites a pullback. ⚠️ Invalidation of Bearish Thesis A strong daily close above $200–$204, ideally with expanding volume, would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward $219 (0.618 Fib). 🧠 Summary: Yes, there is a short-to-mid-term bearish risk developing on both 4h and daily: Overbought RSI Stalling at major Fib resistance Decreasing momentum Vulnerable if $194–$195 breaks Remember: this WILL MOST LIKELY BE A SHORT-SHORT pullback, not a confirmed trend reversal… yet. BUT I'VE INITIATED A STARTING POSITION! THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DrAnkin Smöökëē Whizkee. Edumacational Purpiz Only!TARGET-TP 1 = $178