Technical analysis by Harry_Megat about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (7/22/2025)

XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart structure **Chart Overview** * **Current Price:** \~\$3,393 * **Indicators Used:** * EMA 7, EMA 21 (short-term momentum) * Bollinger Bands (20 SMA, 2 Std Dev) * **Support Zones:** * **S1:** \~\$3,392 – recent demand zone and confluence with EMAs * **S2:** \~\$3,380 – deeper demand zone below * **Resistance Zone:** \~\$3,403 – recent swing high and upper Bollinger Band **Structure & Price Action Analysis** **Bullish Impulse** * A strong uptrend is visible prior to the current retracement, with consecutive higher highs and higher lows. * Volume surged during the breakout around July 21, confirming strong bullish participation. **Current Pullback** * Price has rejected the **\$3,403 resistance**, causing a drop back to the **S1 demand zone**. * This pullback is landing near the **EMA21 and lower Bollinger Band**, where buying interest may reappear. **Possible Scenarios** 1. **Bullish Scenario (Green Path):** * Price holds **above \$3,390–\$3,392 (S1)** support zone. * Forms a **higher low** and reattempts a move toward **\$3,403** and potentially **\$3,420–\$3,435**. * Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or reversal candles with volume near S1. 2. **Bearish Scenario (Red Arrow Path):** * Price breaks below **S1 and EMA21**, losing bullish momentum. * Next support is **S2 near \$3,380**, and if broken, it opens downside toward **\$3,365–\$3,350** zones **Technical Confluence** * **EMA Support:** EMA21 and EMA7 are still bullish-aligned but price is now testing them. * **Bollinger Bands:** The price touched the upper band and is now mean-reverting. If it finds support at the midline or lower band, the bullish trend can continue. * **Volume:** Volume spike during the breakout; recent drop is on lower volume, suggesting it may be just a pullback. **Conclusion** The structure remains bullish **as long as price stays above \$3,390/S1**. A bounce here could lead to continuation toward \$3,420+. However, **a break below \$3,390** may shift the structure toward bearish correction, targeting \$3,380 or lower.Gold (XAUUSD) has successfully hit the \$3,430 target, completing the bullish setup as anticipated — a strong move validating the prior breakout above key resistance levels. This marks a significant win, driven by safe-haven demand amid Fed uncertainty and global trade tensions.close