Technical analysis by Mentor_Michael03 about Symbol PAXG: Sell recommendation (7/21/2025)

Market Context and Structure On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD (Gold) has been in a bullish market structure, forming consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS)—a clear sign of buying pressure and upward momentum. These BOS points mark moments when the market forms new highs, confirming bullish continuation. However, as price approaches the 3370–3380 zone, it reaches a well-defined resistance/supply area. This zone has previously rejected price and can be viewed as a region where institutional selling may occur. 🧠 Smart Money and Liquidity Concepts From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, price often moves to areas of liquidity—zones where buy stops (above highs) or sell stops (below lows) are collected. In this chart: Price pushes up towards 3370, potentially grabbing liquidity above recent highs. This move could be a liquidity sweep, where the market fakes a breakout to trap retail traders before reversing. Such behavior often occurs near institutional zones, suggesting a possible distribution phase—where large players offload positions before a move in the opposite direction. ⚙️ Resistance Analysis: Why 3370 Matters The 3370–3380 area has acted as a ceiling in the past. Price is currently reacting near this level, showing early signs of rejection. This zone aligns with previous order blocks, where institutions may have placed sell orders. In educational terms, this shows how supply zones can act as natural turning points in a market, especially when price approaches them after an extended move. 📦 Support & Potential Downside If a reversal happens from this resistance, the next key support zone lies between 3300–3320. This level has historically acted as demand and could be revisited for price rebalancing or order filling. 📝 Educational Summary This XAUUSD chart provides a great learning opportunity in observing: How Break of Structure (BOS) confirms trend direction. The role of liquidity zones in trapping retail traders. How smart money operates around key levels like 3370. The importance of combining structure, zones, and reaction for confluence.