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Technical analysis by httpz about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (7/20/2025)

https://sahmeto.com/message/3648226
httpz
httpz
Rank: 287
3.1
Buy،Technical،httpz

BTC‑USD | 2‑Week Chart – Quick Read Structure & Trendlines * Price continues to respect the 2019‑2025 rising green channel and has flipped the 2017‑2021 orange trendline from resistance to support. * A fresh break‑of‑structure above the 2021 ATH confirms continuation. Invalidation sits near the channel base / 65‑70 k demand zone. Fib Road‑Map * 1.618 extension (\~90 k) was reclaimed and back‑tested. * Next confluence levels are the 2.618 (\~180 k) and 4.236 (\~240 k) extensions, matching thin volume nodes on the VPVR. Momentum * Multi‑time‑frame RSIs have broken their downtrends and pushed firmly bullish, echoing the 2020 breakout posture. * The 2‑week MACD histogram has flipped positive with a higher‑low signal—momentum rebuilding. Volume Profile * Highest historical volume sits 15‑35 k; above 120 k liquidity thins sharply until ~160 k. Near‑term downside risk * The last episode of aggressive Fed rate cuts (March 2020) triggered a sharp washout before the subsequent melt‑up. * Cuts keep getting deferred because unemployment remains low and jobs data solid; if a sudden pivot arrives on weakening data, a risk‑off flush toward the mid‑channel zone (≈ 80‑90 k) is possible before higher targets re‑engage. Macro uptrend intact; pullbacks to the channel centre are buy‑the‑dip territory while momentum and structure favour an eventual 161.8 → 261.8 push, but stay nimble for policy‑driven volatility.

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
14 روز
Profit Target:
$180,000
Stop Loss Price
$90,000
Price at Publish Time:
$118,268.44
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