Technical analysis by GoldFxMinds about Symbol PAXG on 7/19/2025

GoldFxMinds | Structure-Based HTF Plan Hello traders, This week we’re back in key HTF territory. Price is compressing inside a premium structure zone, between clean supply and demand areas. Trend is still bullish, but momentum is weakening — so we focus on structure to guide us. 🟨 Weekly Bias: Neutral | Range Structure in Play We currently have no confirmed bullish or bearish bias on the weekly timeframe. Gold remains trapped in a macro range between: 🟥 Upper Resistance Zone: 3355–3380 🟦 Lower Demand Zone: 3280–3240 Last week’s movement created a wick grab near 3375 followed by a strong push down, but without a clean break of structure — meaning we’re still inside a distribution–accumulation trap. 📌 Until we see a clear breakout (above 3380 or below 3280), the weekly bias remains neutral. This is not a time to force directional trades on the weekly. Instead, we wait for Daily and H4 confirmation, and position ourselves around the edges of this weekly range. 🔹 Last Week Recap Weekly candle created a wick into 3377, rejecting just under previous week’s high. No BOS, no liquidity sweep with continuation — just a clear rejection inside supply, confirming premium trap. Weekly candle closed with a top wick and small body — price is compressing under resistance. Still bullish structure, but not impulsive. 🔹 Weekly Key Structure Zones 🔸 3365–3390 (Supply) → Reason: Rejection from prior weekly high (3377), aligned with clean OB and FVG left behind from June breakout. → Structure context: No bullish BOS above 3375. This is now an unbroken supply zone with strong wick rejections. Liquidity sits above. → Use: Wait for price to tap back in → look for M15–H1 reaction for possible sell if no BOS above 3390. 🔸 3430–3450 (Supply - Last Line) → Reason: Unmitigated impulsive candle OB from prior macro swing high. This zone marks the final structure before a full continuation toward new highs. → Structure context: If this breaks with a strong BOS, macro structure flips bullish again. → Use: Only engage if price clears 3390 with strong volume and closes → watch this for last reaction zone. 🔸 3285–3260 (Demand) → Reason: Last bullish OB + FVG combo from early July, unmitigated. Price never retraced to this base since the rally. → Structure context: No BOS down yet, so this is still valid bullish origin. → Use: If price pulls back aggressively this week, watch this zone for LTF confirmation (CHoCH or BOS bullish). This would be a clean discount buy. 🔸 3210–3180 (Deep Demand) → Reason: Higher timeframe CHoCH origin zone, aligns with Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from entire May–July swing. → Structure context: Only in play if 3260 fails and we get clean BOS down on Daily. → Use: This is your swing buy zone if market breaks structure lower. Strong confluence for reaction. 🔹 HTF Structure Recap Weekly trend: Still bullish (no BOS down), but compression under resistance Structure range: Between 3390 and 3260 — price inside premium, no breakout yet EMA Flow: Bullish but extended. Space for retracement. RSI: Divergence above 3350 — supporting possible retrace. 🔹 Macro Events This Week Tuesday: Powell speaks 🗣️ (volatility risk) Thursday: Flash PMIs (usually directional) Friday: Durable Goods & Home Sales 🏡 ⚠️ Be patient on high-impact days. Let price come into your marked zones — don’t chase inside noise. 🔹 Summary & Plan We are inside a macro range between 3390 (supply) and 3260 (demand). Structure is not broken — so we play both sides: Sell Setup: If price taps back into 3365–3390 with no BOS → watch for reaction Buy Setup: If price retraces into 3285–3260 → look for clean bullish CHoCH to validate Middle area = chop. Wait for price to get to structure zones — don’t guess. Thanks for reading 💛 We’ll drop daily and intraday outlooks once price moves closer to one of these structure zones. Until then: 🎯 Trade the reaction, not the prediction. 🔥 If you want these levels and sniper plans every day, follow , like 🚀🚀🚀 and drop a comment if you caught the move! Stay focused, stay sharp, and never force a trade. GoldFxMinds