Technical analysis by Tami512 about Symbol PAXG on 7/17/2025

🔷 Market Context and Current Price As of July 17, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,341, slightly above the week’s midpoint. The metal remains range-bound but shows signs of bullish resilience as it tests key structural support zones. Today’s analysis integrates advanced technical methodologies — including Price Action, Fibonacci tools, ICT and Smart Money Concepts — to present a clear directional bias and actionable trade ideas. 📊 4‑Hour Chart Analysis 1️⃣ Price Structure & Trend Gold has maintained a sideways-to-upward bias, consolidating between $3,320 (support base) and $3,377 (range resistance). Higher lows since early July reinforce the short-term bullish narrative, though price remains capped by supply in the upper 3,370s. No decisive Break of Structure (BOS) has yet occurred, keeping price within this range. However, minor bullish BOS signals have appeared near $3,332–$3,334, with a confirmed Change of Character (CHOCH) around $3,320–$3,324, as buyers repeatedly defended this level. 2️⃣ Smart Money Concepts & ICT Insights Demand Zone / Order Block (OB): $3,332–$3,334. This zone aligns with a recent fair value gap and bullish order block. Supply Zone / OB: $3,355–$3,359, corresponding to prior inefficiencies and institutional selling. Liquidity Levels: Sell-side liquidity was swept near $3,320 earlier this week, suggesting smart money accumulation below prior lows. Fair Value Gap (Imbalance): Present at $3,332–$3,333, partially filled and offering a strong risk-reward for long setups. 3️⃣ Fibonacci Levels Using the recent swing low ($3,320) and swing high ($3,377), Fibonacci retracements show: 38.2%: ~$3,342 — currently being tested. 50%: ~$3,348 — an interim bullish target. Fibonacci extensions project potential upside toward $3,401 if momentum strengthens beyond the range top. 4️⃣ Key Levels Summary (4H) ZoneLevel Demand / Buy Zone$3,332–$3,334 Structural Support$3,320 Interim Pivot$3,340–$3,342 Supply / Sell Zone$3,355–$3,359 Range Ceiling$3,375–$3,377 🔷 Directional Bias and Strategy The 4-hour structure remains neutral-to-bullish, favoring upside so long as the $3,332–$3,334 demand zone holds. A confirmed BOS above $3,342–$3,344 could accelerate bullish momentum toward $3,355–$3,360 and even $3,375. Conversely, a breakdown below $3,332 risks revisiting $3,320 and potentially $3,300. ⏳ 1‑Hour Chart – Intraday Trade Setups The 1-hour timeframe reveals tactical opportunities aligned with the broader bias: SetupDirectionEntryStop LossTake Profit Setup A – Smart Money LongLong$3,334$3,329$3,348 / $3,355 Setup B – Breakout LongLong$3,344 (after breakout)$3,340$3,355 / $3,375 Setup C – Range ShortShort$3,355–$3,359$3,362$3,340 / $3,332 🏆 The Golden Setup Setup A – Smart Money Long offers the highest statistical edge: Entry: $3,334 (at demand OB / FVG) Stop Loss: $3,329 (below structure) Take Profits: TP1: $3,348 (pivot) TP2: $3,355 (supply zone) R:R Ratio: ~2.8:1 This setup benefits from multi-timeframe confluences: demand zone, fair value gap, bullish CHOCH, and proximity to BOS, making it a high‑conviction trade. 🔷 External Consensus Check An alignment scan of professional analyst views shows strong consensus: Buy interest remains concentrated around $3,332–$3,335. Profit-taking and caution advised as price approaches $3,355–$3,377. No notable divergence in professional outlook — most remain cautiously bullish above $3,332. 📜 Summary Report ✅ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,332; downside risk below. ✅ Key Levels: $3,332–$3,334 (buy zone), $3,355–$3,359 (sell zone), $3,375–$3,377 (range ceiling). ✅ Top Trade: Long from $3,334 with stops under $3,329 and targets at $3,348/$3,355. ✅ Alternate Trades: Breakout long above $3,344 or short from supply near $3,355. ✅ Confidence Zones: Buyers dominate above $3,332; sellers reappear above $3,355. Conclusion Gold remains in a well‑defined range, with smart money likely accumulating near the lower boundary at $3,332. With structural supports intact and demand zones respected, the path of least resistance favors cautious upside toward $3,355 and possibly $3,375. Intraday traders are advised to focus on precise execution within the outlined confidence zones, maintaining discipline around stops and targets. The current market structure rewards patience and alignment with institutional footprints — positioning ahead of breakout confirmation, while respecting range extremes.Contact me to Join our group for free gold trading ideas on daily basis Watsapp Contact +971559939571