Technical analysis by Mark804 about Symbol PAXG: Sell recommendation (7/16/2025)

Gold defends 50-day SMA ahead of US PPI inflation data Gold price attempts a tepid bounce early Wednesday as focus shifts to trade updates and US PPI data. The US Dollar retreats alongside Treasury bond yields even as risk-off flows persist. Gold price needs to crack the 50-day SMA support at $3,323; daily RSI reclaims midline. As observed on the daily chart, Gold price is stuck between two key barriers, with the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support-turned-resistance at $3,335 checking the upside. On the other hand, the 50-day SMA at $3,323 cushions the downside. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting just above the midline, currently near 50.50, suggesting that buyers could retain control. Acceptance above the 21-day SMA is critical to sustaining the renewed upside, above which the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (Fibo) level of the April record rally at $3377 will be put to the test once again. Further north, the $3,400 round level will challenge bearish commitments. In contrast, rejection at the 21-day SMA could attack the 50-day SMA support. Sellers must find a strong foothold below the 50-day SMA on daily closing basis. The next healthy support levels are located at the 38.2% Fibo level of the same rally at $3,297 and the July low of $3,283. TP 1 3,349 TP 2 3,371 TP 3 3,390 RESISTANCE 3,317