Technical analysis by MMFlowTrading about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (7/14/2025)
MMFlowTrading

Gold Outlook – 14 July | Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic Releases 🌍 Market Sentiment & Macro Overview Gold has started the week with a sharp retracement after filling prior liquidity gaps (FVG) from the past two weeks. This early weakness signals a risk-off tone as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of a heavy macroeconomic calendar and geopolitical trade discussions. This week’s high-impact events include: 📌 US CPI (Inflation Data) 📌 US PPI (Producer Prices) 📌 Unemployment Claims 📌 Retail Sales Figures These data points will likely set the tone for price action through the second half of the week, with potential for sharp moves in gold. 📉 Technical Snapshot – M30 Chart Structure Price swept minor liquidity above recent highs Pulled back by more than $15 from the short-term top Currently trading below the intraday VPOC (~3358), suggesting short-term bearish momentum If the selling pressure holds, we may see a move toward: ⚠️ 333x zone — initial liquidity pool ❗ 332x zone — deeper liquidity grab before any bullish reversal 🧭 Trading Plan – Key Zones and Setup 📥 Buy Setup: 3331 – 3329 (Zone of Interest) Stop Loss: 3325 Target Levels: TP1: 3335 TP2: 3340 TP3: 3344 TP4: 3350 TP5: 3360 – 3370 ✅ A highly reactive zone — ideal for intraday long setups if price sweeps into this area and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., volume spike or rejection wick). 📤 Sell Setup: 3393 – 3395 (Resistance Re-Test) Stop Loss: 3399 Target Levels: TP1: 3390 TP2: 3386 TP3: 3382 TP4: 3378 TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360 📉 Potential scalp zone if price retests resistance with signs of exhaustion. Monitor closely for bearish structure confirmation. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 3358 3368 3374 3394 Support Zones: 3349 3340 3331 3318 These zones remain relevant for both momentum trades and reversion setups. ⚠️ Strategy Considerations At the time of writing, gold is trading indecisively around the M30 VPOC. No clear breakout has occurred yet. ⏳ Wait for volume confirmation during the London session 🚫 Avoid impulsive entries based on emotions or FOMO ✅ Stick to your risk parameters and let price come to your level 🧠 Summary & Bias Gold is experiencing an early-week technical correction after recent strength. The market is in "wait-and-see" mode, with macro drivers likely to dictate direction from mid-week onwards. 📍 Watch the 3331–3329 zone closely — it remains the most attractive level for long setups. 📍 The 3393–3395 zone is a key area to fade strength if price struggles at resistance. Patience and precision are key this week. Let the market reveal its intention, and trade accordingly.