Technical analysis by Tami512 about Symbol PAXG on 7/14/2025

1. Price Action & Market Structure Gold has broken recent swing highs above ~$3,360, marking a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) and signaling upward momentum continuity Recent pullback zones around $3,350–$3,340 formed a clear Higher Low (Change of Character) — textbook price action confirmation. 2. Fibonacci Retracement / Extension Measuring from the last swing low near ~$3,326 to swing high ~3,374: 38.2% retracement at ~$3,352 coincides with the current bounce zone. 50% retracement at ~$3,350 aligns with key structure support. Upside extension targets: 1.272 at ~$3,396, 1.618 at ~$3,425 — overlapping major resistance zones 3. ICT & Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Order Blocks (OBs) identified near $3,340–$3,342 (prior resistance turned support) — ideal demand zone. A recent Buy-side liquidity grab eclipsed above $3,360, sweeping stops and gathering liquidity before the breakout — classic ICT setup . A Fair Value Gap (imbalance) lies around $3,345–$3,350 — zone to expect value-driven retracement. Higher timeframe has clear SMC alignment: BOS above 3,360 with CHoCH already formed. 4. Major Supply / Demand & Support / Resistance Zones Demand: $3,340–$3,352 (OB + Fib + BOS confluence). Supply: $3,380–$3,385 (intraday swing high resistance), followed by zone at $3,396–$3,400. Key resistance at $3,360–$3,362 — confirmed supply pocket that needs to be reclaimed 5. Moving Average Confirmation The 4‑hour SMA/EMA 100–200 band is sloping up just below current price (~$3,340–$3,350), reinforcing the bullish context . 1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with HTF Bullish Bias) Setup A: Pullback into 4‑Hour OB / Fair Value Gap Entry: Limit buy at $3,345–$3,350. Stop: Below $3,335 (below imbalance & BOS). TP1: $3,362 (former resistance). TP2: $3,380 (next supply block). Setup B: Breakout Retest of 3,360 Entry: Buy on retest of broken resistance at $3,360. Stop: Below $3,356. TP1: $3,380. TP2: $3,396 (Fib extension confluence). Setup C: Momentum Continuation Fresh Breakout Entry: Market buy on clear H1 BOS above $3,365. Stop: Below breakout candle low (~$3,360). TP: $3,396 (1.272 Fib) – extend to $3,425 if momentum strong. The Golden Setup: Setup A—buy from $3,345–$3,350—has strong confluences: 4‑hour demand OB + fair value gap, 38.2–50% Fib retracement, SMC BOS/imbalance alignment, ICT-style order block zone. This offers high edge with confluence clusters. ✔ Summary Report: Direction & Key Zones Directional Bias: Medium-term (4H): Bullish, confirmed by BOS above 3,360, higher lows, OB and Fibonacci alignment. 🔹 Primary Buy Zones: $3,345–$3,350 — 4H OB + fair value gap + Fib. $3,360 on retention — breakout retest zone. Momentum entry >$3,365. 🔹 Key Target Zones: First resistance: $3,360–$3,362. Next supply: $3,380–$3,385. Extension target: $3,396 (1.272 Fib), then $3,425 (1.618 Fib). 🔻 Watchdownside Risk: Daily invalidation if drop below $3,335 (4H OB break). Next support at $3,326–$3,330. 📋 Consolidated Table: Setups at a Glance SetupEntry ZoneStopTargets Golden$3,345–$3,350$3,335TP1: $3,362 / TP2: $3,380 Breakout Pullback$3,360 retest$3,356$3,380 → $3,396 Momentum BOS>$3,365 (H1 BOS)< $3,360$3,396 → $3,425 Final Thoughts On the 4‑hour chart, price is firmly in a bullish regime, supported by price structure, SMC, ICT concepts, and Fibonacci confluence. The $3,345–$3,350 zone is the highest‑probability entry for buyers, offering excellent risk/reward. The Golden Setup targets ~$3,380 and beyond, combining structure, gap fill, and liquidity strategy.Contact me to Join our group for free gold trading ideas on daily basis Watsapp Contact +971559939571