Technical analysis by Tami512 about Symbol PAXG on 7/8/2025

Current Price: ~$3,330Timeframe Focus: 4‑Hour and 1‑HourDirectional Bias: Neutral-to-BearishMethodologies Used:✅ Price Action, Fibonacci Levels, Support & Resistance✅ Supply & Demand Zones✅ ICT / Smart Money Concepts (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity, OB, FVG)4‑Hour Market Structure AnalysisGold has shifted into a neutral-to-bearish regime on the 4‑hour timeframe, after a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) below prior swing lows at ~$3,345 and a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) as bulls failed to sustain above the ~$3,350 level. Price currently hovers around ~$3,330, consolidating within a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the recent impulsive drop.Key Observations:A liquidity grab above $3,349 (stop sweep) preceded a sharp reversal, validating this as a sell-side liquidity zone.The 4H supply zone / bearish Order Block (OB) at $3,345–$3,350 remains unmitigated and likely to attract sellers.Immediate downside is cushioned by a 4H demand zone & FVG at $3,300–$3,305, which has acted as support during the prior dip.A deeper daily demand zone rests around $3,280–$3,290, which aligns with historical support and unmitigated buy‑side liquidity.Key 4‑Hour Levels to WatchPrice LevelTypeNotes$3,360–$3,365Supply / Fib 61.8%Strong resistance$3,345–$3,350Supply / OB + 50% FibPrimary sell zone$3,330–$3,334Bearish FVGActive imbalance$3,300–$3,305Demand / FVGPrimary buy zone$3,280–$3,290Demand (daily OB)Secondary buy zoneThe neutral-to-bearish bias is reinforced by the fact that price has failed to reclaim prior support and continues to respect supply zones.1‑Hour Intraday Trade IdeasZooming into the 1‑hour chart, we align intraday setups with the broader 4H directional bias: selling into supply and covering into demand.Setup 1: Short at 4H ImbalanceEntry: ~$3,332–$3,334 (inside active FVG)Stop-Loss: Above $3,335Targets:TP1: $3,305TP2: $3,280Confluences: BOS + CHoCH, 4H FVG, sell‑side liquidity above.Setup 2: Short on RetracementEntry: ~$3,345–$3,350 (50% Fib + OB)Stop-Loss: Above $3,352Targets: Same as Setup 1.Setup 3: Aggressive Long (Countertrend)Entry: ~$3,300–$3,305 (demand + FVG)Stop-Loss: Below $3,295Target: $3,327Note: Only valid if strong bullish reaction occurs in demand.The Golden SetupSell at ~$3,332–$3,334 (active 4H imbalance) with a target of $3,300.This setup offers maximum confluence — bearish FVG, BOS, and supply rejection — with tight risk parameters and favorable reward/risk ratio.Summary TableBiasLevels of InterestDirectional BiasNeutral-to-BearishStrong Sell Zones$3,330–$3,334 and $3,345–$3,350Strong Buy Zones$3,300–$3,305 and $3,280–$3,290Closing NotesGold continues to respect Smart Money footprints on the 4‑hour chart, suggesting more downside unless bulls reclaim $3,350 decisively. Today’s focus remains on short opportunities at premium levels into supply and imbalances, targeting well‑defined demand areas below.Watch price action closely in the $3,332–$3,334 zone for the highest‑probability short entry of the session — The Golden Setup.Contact me to Join our group for free gold trading ideas on daily basisWatsapp Contact +971559939571