Technical analysis by Tami512 about Symbol PAXG on 6/26/2025

Gold (XAU/USD) is pushing into fresh highs around $3337, and we may be approaching a key inflection point. But beneath the surface of candles and wicks lies the real story — one written by liquidity, displacement, and smart money positioning.This outlook breaks down gold’s price action using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price structure, and Fibonacci confluence, to help identify the most probable high-value trade zones for both swing and intraday traders.4H Outlook – Institutional Flow & StructureMarket StructureGold recently broke above the $3310–$3320 resistance, confirming a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This keeps the market in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, validating continued bullish pressure.Smart Money InsightsBOS: Clean break above $3320 signals strength.CHoCH: None yet — trend remains bullish.Liquidity Sweep: Sell stops below $3295 have already been taken.Buy-Side Liquidity: Sits above $3350 — price may gravitate there next.FVG: Unfilled Fair Value Gap between $3314–$3322 — possible retracement zone.Bullish OB: Identified between $3300–$3310, aligned with FVG and BOS level.Equilibrium: Using $3275 (swing low) and $3342 (swing high), the midpoint sits near $3308, acting as fair re-entry value.Key ZonesBuy Zone (Demand): $3295–$3310 — OB + FVG + Fib confluence.Sell Zone (Supply): $3350–$3360 — next likely liquidity target.Bias SummaryAs long as price remains above $3295, the bullish structure stays valid. Watch for a retracement into $3308–$3316 for potential continuation toward $3350–$3360. Price may briefly dip below $3310 to trigger liquidity before moving higher.1H View – Precision EntriesStructureFollowing the high at $3342, price has pulled back slightly and is forming what appears to be a bullish flag — often a continuation pattern.Smart Money Zones (1H)FVG: $3315–$3322 — potential short-term reaction zone.Order Block: $3305–$3312 — 1H bullish OB aligned with 4H bias.Sell-side Liquidity: Swept at $3295 earlier this week — supports continuation.Trade SetupsLong Setup #1 – Optimal EntryEntry: $3308–$3315Stop: Below $3295TP: $3342 (partial), $3350–$3360 (full)Why: Strong zone combining FVG, OB, and Fib support.Long Setup #2 – Aggressive EntryEntry: $3316–$3320Stop: $3300TP: $3340–$3350Why: Quicker entry inside the imbalance — riskier but valid.Short Setup – Countertrend (Low Conviction)Only valid on a clear break below $3310 + CHoCHEntry: Below $3310 (confirmed)Target: $3295Note: Lower confidence unless 1H structure turns bearish.Final NotesThe bias remains bullish above $3301–$3308. This is a high-probability area to look for long setups on retracement. Avoid shorts unless we see a confirmed structural shift with a CHoCH and OB breakdown.Expect the market to potentially hunt stops below $3310, then aim for liquidity sitting above $3350–$3360.Contact me to Join our group for free gold trading ideas on daily basisWatsapp Contact +971559939571