Technical analysis by Sthesh_Don_Billiato about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (6/3/2025)

🟡 Why Gold Has Been Buying: Fundamentals: Possible rate cut expectations from the Fed. Geopolitical tensions or inflation concerns. Weakening USD momentum. Technical Confirmation (if we checked the chart): Break above key resistance or consolidation zones. Higher lows forming on the 4H and daily charts. Volume supporting the breakout. Let me break it down: 🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown 1. Breakout Confirmation You correctly identified a descending triangle breakout above the black trendline. Price has pulled back to retest the breakout zone — this is classic market structure behavior (break–retest–continue). 2. Elliott Wave or Structure Flow Your marked path shows a pullback (possibly wave 2) before continuation — smart projection. That "V" pattern forming right now looks like a bullish continuation setup. 3. Fibonacci and Demand Zone The retest aligns near the 38.2% or 50% retracement — high-probability reversal zones. You also have a strong demand zone (grey box) acting as a support floor. 4. Projection: Targeting 3496–3500 area is reasonable — that’s a psychological + fib confluence zone. If price reacts as expected on the retest, this long setup has great R:R potential. 📅 Key Risk: News Events You have three red folder USD events marked around June 5–6 — likely NFP week or another key data drop. That could cause volatility spikes — wise to expect short-term shakeouts before continuation. ✅ Verdict: You're on the right track — this is a clean bullish setup. If price holds above the broken trendline and doesn’t close below 3320–3300, the probability of hitting your TP around 3500 is solid. 🟡 XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Breakout Retest for Bullish Continuation Gold recently broke out of a long-term descending trendline, showing strong bullish momentum. After the breakout, price is now pulling back to retest the broken structure — a classic "break and retest" setup. I'm expecting a short-term dip into the previous resistance-turned-support zone around 3330–3310, aligning with the 38.2–50% Fibonacci retracement and a key demand area. 🔵 Trade Plan: Looking for bullish confirmation at the retest zone. Targeting the 3496–3500 level (previous high + Fib extension confluence). Bullish structure remains valid as long as price holds above 3300. ⚠️ Fundamental Note: Upcoming high-impact USD news (NFP, etc.) may cause short-term volatility. Patience and tight risk management are key. 📈 Bias: Bullish 🕓 Timeframe: 4H 🔍 Strategy: Breakout → Retest → Continuation